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getagrip_already

(17,798 posts)

1. I'd love to say Peltola,but she will need 50% of

Reply to ColinC (Original post)

Sun Aug 28, 2022, 06:47 PM

Aug 2022

The second choice votes of the other republican.

Tribalists will cast second choice ballots for Palin. Anti Palin votes will go d.

I'm not sure there are enough anti palins in the gop up in Alaska.

But I'm hopeful.

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Who will win the Alaska At Large Special Election? [View all] ColinC Aug 2022 OP

I'd love to say Peltola,but she will need 50% of getagrip_already Aug 2022 #1

Huh? Johnny2X2X Aug 2022 #2

Yeah, around 2:1... but you don't think that many GOP'ers voted D as a 2nd choice right? WarGamer Aug 2022 #5

Yes. Johnny2X2X Aug 2022 #6

Given the toxicity between Begich and Palin during the campaign, ColinC Aug 2022 #7

Gonna be a photo finish then... would be a great win for Team Blue WarGamer Aug 2022 #8

Exactly. ColinC Aug 2022 #9

Alaska is pretty Red though... not Trumpy red but GOP red. WarGamer Aug 2022 #10

True, but they are rather pro-choice ColinC Aug 2022 #11

I think most people understand it's NOW the State's call. WarGamer Aug 2022 #12

sorry, I was going on results available the day before... getagrip_already Aug 2022 #22

Not quite 50% because she's ahead.... right? WarGamer Aug 2022 #4

This is the best I can understand it. WarGamer Aug 2022 #3

Plus there will be a few Peltola voters that picked Palin as their second choice Polybius Aug 2022 #14

I don't think second choice votes by pelota voters matter at this stage. onenote Aug 2022 #21

I believe you are correct - otherwise someone would get 2 votes..... getagrip_already Aug 2022 #23

Here is my rough math. Just A Box Of Rain Aug 2022 #13

What if 5% of Peltola voters pick Palin as their second choice? Polybius Aug 2022 #16

No, since Peltola votes are not being redistributed that scenario is not relevant. Just A Box Of Rain Aug 2022 #17

I'm that one person that voted Palin here in this poll Polybius Aug 2022 #15

Usually DU is pretty realistic. I'm surprised nobody else so far made that choice ColinC Aug 2022 #19

I think Palin is so love her/hate her Mr.Bill Aug 2022 #18

Same ColinC Aug 2022 #20