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The Revolution

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6. Iowa 2nd (my district) is underrated

Thu Sep 29, 2022, 01:40 PM

Sep 2022

538 has my district (Iowa's 2nd) as an 11% chance to be won by Mathis, the Democrat.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/iowa/2/

But there are only 2 polls listed, which show an even race or R+1. So I think we have a better than 11% chance here, and this would be a flip.

When I say my district, I mean my new district. My town, which is fairly liberal, is getting moved into this district starting with this election.

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