Michael Moore's Prediction On The Election

[Farmer-Rick]

28. One reason I am leaning towards believing Moore over 538

Is because new voters are hard to poll.

State polling is kind of bad anyway. It's not as well funded as national polling. Predicting individual state results requires a deep dive into issues and priorities of the state. So it's a lot of work to do for just one state result. So, keep that in mind when looking at the polling data on 538.

New voters are really hard to predict through polling. Most polls like to look at likely voters or prior voters but frequently those 2 statistics rarely look at new voters. How would you even measure new voters unless you had access to registration rolls up to the last minute.

That's why Obama's win was such a surprise when he won in an avalanche of votes.

New voters are more motivated. They sought out and did all the stupid paperwork to register to vote for a reason. There is something in particular that's motivating them. I think taking away women's rights is the motivator.

I hope American women realize that if they don't vote now, they may not be able to vote later because the Supremely Religious Court has talked about overturning the 19th amendment too, because it wasn't in the original constitution, and to the Supremes, god hates women.

So, I suspect there maybe an avalanche of votes hidden from the oligarchs controlling our major media outlets.