Democrats, on Defense in Blue States, Brace for a Red Wave in the House (NY Times)

[BlueCheeseAgain]

13. This article is long on anecdotes and short on actual data.

The only real data it presents is spending, which is an indication of what some strategists think. There doesn't seem to be much in the way of polling data, for example.

Having said that, we've known from the beginning that midterm elections are bad for the party holding the presidency. That's been the case for a long, long time, with only a couple of exceptions. Will this time be an exception because of abortion? Maybe, maybe not.

Right now, most prognosticators see the GOP winning the House, with the Senate more of a tossup. I don't think they're all in on some conspiracy. Maybe they'll turn out to be wrong, but not because they have a strong rooting interest.

In any case, all we can do is to whatever we can to try and win as many of these as we can, and see where the votes are.