General Discussion

Capn Sunshine

(14,378 posts)

8. I'm working on ground and the feedback there is awesome!

Thu Nov 3, 2022, 12:43 AM

Nov 2022

I'm hearing about enthusiasm and a good turnout plan. Plus early voting numbers spike. Those voters sway Democratic by a large percentage.

Polls are all badly conceived and the only point is to feed the horserace narrative. The samples are truly bad.

Every election they do this. Republicans sweep. Democrats in disarray. Polls show bla bla bla.

Don't buy it. Work hard at the local level. Local Dem clubs or MoveOn.org have chapters near you. Or volunteer at the party level with @DNC.
There's still time. Reach out!

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if you still feel optimistic about next week, why? [View all] pstokely Nov 2022 OP

I do. BigmanPigman Nov 2022 #1

For some reason... Blue Owl Nov 2022 #2

that wasn't polled much, but it showed a large amount of undecideds pstokely Nov 2022 #3

I kept hearing it was a toss-up in my solid red town KS Toronado Nov 2022 #4

The key word is August, and very early August at that (8-2) Polybius Nov 2022 #11

Oh please. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #38

It was a little election that never should have been in August Polybius Nov 2022 #39

Republicans are usually known for turning out in these special non-Election Day elections. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #44

Winners don't get motivated to vote as much as a block of voters who just lost (Roe) Polybius Nov 2022 #46

Several reasons PortTack Nov 2022 #5

Excellent analysis yankee87 Nov 2022 #7

The House maybe, but '24 will be all but impossible to keep or retake the Senate though Polybius Nov 2022 #12

Depends on how bad Republicans fuck things up. Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #26

But of those 10 up in '24, 8 or 9 aren't losing Polybius Nov 2022 #34

We might not gain seats but Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #36

Yes Polybius Nov 2022 #37

Huge early voting turnout, and questionable polling methods. mackdaddy Nov 2022 #6

Yep. rubbersole Nov 2022 #10

Whether the polls are done via cell phone or landlines, because of all the spam calls that are JohnSJ Nov 2022 #18

I'm working on ground and the feedback there is awesome! Capn Sunshine Nov 2022 #8

Statistically there isn't a reason to be optimistic. I'm having trouble getting voters to the polls LeftInTX Nov 2022 #9

That might be specific to TX? LisaL Nov 2022 #13

Yes, TX only LeftInTX Nov 2022 #23

In MI, there's been a 60% increase in returned absentee ballot compared to 2018 Kaleva Nov 2022 #14

That's good to hear LeftInTX Nov 2022 #24

Could some of it be people deciding to continue voting absentee JI7 Nov 2022 #41

No one knows, which is why there is so much uncertainty Amishman Nov 2022 #42

That's not true everywhere though. Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #28

Good to know! LeftInTX Nov 2022 #29

Polls are garbage, etc, etc. DarthDem Nov 2022 #15

67% mahina Nov 2022 #16

I am optimistic as long as Democrats, progressives, women, the young, etc., vote in large numbers JohnSJ Nov 2022 #17

Gen Z Pachamama Nov 2022 #19

The only silver lining I can find is in how bad of candidates they are running in PA an GA Amishman Nov 2022 #20

This is the way I look at it Just_Vote_Dem Nov 2022 #21

Because I find it hard to believe the US is filled with idiots. Ferrets are Cool Nov 2022 #22

I always try and stay optimistic. Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #25

I am very scared. The future is looking frightening katmondoo Nov 2022 #27

I am very scared. The future is looking frightening katmondoo Nov 2022 #30

Yes I do feel optimistic sarisataka Nov 2022 #31

Common sense tells me we can't have THAT many hateful, ignorant people as wiggs Nov 2022 #32

...another explanation is that she was sowing illegal ballots to 'find' fraud later. link wiggs Nov 2022 #40

I'm optimistic bc of the early voting numbers mcar Nov 2022 #33

Feel the same way peggysue2 Nov 2022 #35

I'm not going to get my hopes up too early. Initech Nov 2022 #43

Mrs. Snark and I early voted today and the poll workers said it was a hugely Snarkoleptic Nov 2022 #45

the fundamentals are against us but jcgoldie Nov 2022 #47

The Republicans have persuaded all the people they'll be able to persuade. Efilroft Sul Nov 2022 #48