General Discussion

Polybius

(21,298 posts)

34. But of those 10 up in '24, 8 or 9 aren't losing

Thu Nov 3, 2022, 10:45 AM

Nov 2022

Here's the list:

Republicans

Barrasso, John (R-WY)
Blackburn, Marsha (R-TN)
Braun, Mike (R-IN)
Cramer, Kevin (R-ND)
Cruz, Ted (R-TX)
Fischer, Deb (R-NE)
Hawley, Josh (R-MO)
Romney, Mitt (R-UT)
Scott, Rick (R-FL)
Wicker, Roger F. (R-MS)

Even if Biden is at 70%, only really Hawley or Cruz stand a small chance of losing. Plus Republicans will pick up WV for sure.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

48 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

if you still feel optimistic about next week, why? [View all] pstokely Nov 2022 OP

I do. BigmanPigman Nov 2022 #1

For some reason... Blue Owl Nov 2022 #2

that wasn't polled much, but it showed a large amount of undecideds pstokely Nov 2022 #3

I kept hearing it was a toss-up in my solid red town KS Toronado Nov 2022 #4

The key word is August, and very early August at that (8-2) Polybius Nov 2022 #11

Oh please. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #38

It was a little election that never should have been in August Polybius Nov 2022 #39

Republicans are usually known for turning out in these special non-Election Day elections. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #44

Winners don't get motivated to vote as much as a block of voters who just lost (Roe) Polybius Nov 2022 #46

Several reasons PortTack Nov 2022 #5

Excellent analysis yankee87 Nov 2022 #7

The House maybe, but '24 will be all but impossible to keep or retake the Senate though Polybius Nov 2022 #12

Depends on how bad Republicans fuck things up. Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #26

But of those 10 up in '24, 8 or 9 aren't losing Polybius Nov 2022 #34

We might not gain seats but Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #36

Yes Polybius Nov 2022 #37

Huge early voting turnout, and questionable polling methods. mackdaddy Nov 2022 #6

Yep. rubbersole Nov 2022 #10

Whether the polls are done via cell phone or landlines, because of all the spam calls that are JohnSJ Nov 2022 #18

I'm working on ground and the feedback there is awesome! Capn Sunshine Nov 2022 #8

Statistically there isn't a reason to be optimistic. I'm having trouble getting voters to the polls LeftInTX Nov 2022 #9

That might be specific to TX? LisaL Nov 2022 #13

Yes, TX only LeftInTX Nov 2022 #23

In MI, there's been a 60% increase in returned absentee ballot compared to 2018 Kaleva Nov 2022 #14

That's good to hear LeftInTX Nov 2022 #24

Could some of it be people deciding to continue voting absentee JI7 Nov 2022 #41

No one knows, which is why there is so much uncertainty Amishman Nov 2022 #42

That's not true everywhere though. Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #28

Good to know! LeftInTX Nov 2022 #29

Polls are garbage, etc, etc. DarthDem Nov 2022 #15

67% mahina Nov 2022 #16

I am optimistic as long as Democrats, progressives, women, the young, etc., vote in large numbers JohnSJ Nov 2022 #17

Gen Z Pachamama Nov 2022 #19

The only silver lining I can find is in how bad of candidates they are running in PA an GA Amishman Nov 2022 #20

This is the way I look at it Just_Vote_Dem Nov 2022 #21

Because I find it hard to believe the US is filled with idiots. Ferrets are Cool Nov 2022 #22

I always try and stay optimistic. Elessar Zappa Nov 2022 #25

I am very scared. The future is looking frightening katmondoo Nov 2022 #27

I am very scared. The future is looking frightening katmondoo Nov 2022 #30

Yes I do feel optimistic sarisataka Nov 2022 #31

Common sense tells me we can't have THAT many hateful, ignorant people as wiggs Nov 2022 #32

...another explanation is that she was sowing illegal ballots to 'find' fraud later. link wiggs Nov 2022 #40

I'm optimistic bc of the early voting numbers mcar Nov 2022 #33

Feel the same way peggysue2 Nov 2022 #35

I'm not going to get my hopes up too early. Initech Nov 2022 #43

Mrs. Snark and I early voted today and the poll workers said it was a hugely Snarkoleptic Nov 2022 #45

the fundamentals are against us but jcgoldie Nov 2022 #47

The Republicans have persuaded all the people they'll be able to persuade. Efilroft Sul Nov 2022 #48