General Discussion

Deminpenn

(17,575 posts)

23. Yes, those are the numbers

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 03:25 PM

Nov 2022

Dem share of the early absentee ballot 18-29 vote has increased in absolute numbers by about 10 points each cycle. That is good news. My guess is this indicates more college students voting than in previous cycles.

Just keep in mind that no excuse absentee balloting wasn't enacted in PA until after the 2018 midterms.

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HUGE youth turnout numbers out of Pennsylvania [View all] FelineOverlord Nov 2022 OP

Good news. Percentage seems wonky Demovictory9 Nov 2022 #1

😊 FelineOverlord Nov 2022 #4

Good news, muddied by what seems to be a poor explanation on his part. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #2

Good news...thanks for posting. Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #5

Whoever Victor Shi is, SharonClark Nov 2022 #3

He's actually an impressive kid FelineOverlord Nov 2022 #7

It might be best to just edit out his tweet and just post his TargetSmart link. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #9

A former WH intern. SlimJimmy Nov 2022 #53

Oh, maybe you would prefer more doom and gloom...Well, I don't post such things but I am Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #8

You go..right there with ya! Go Dems..screw the doom and gloom crew. PortTack Nov 2022 #25

Are you implying I'm in the "doom and gloom" SharonClark Nov 2022 #60

Shi's explanation is bad, but the data looks good. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #12

No one but those with an "excuse" could "vote early" in PA (regular absentee ballot) in 2018 BumRushDaShow Nov 2022 #19

The percentages have increased in the Democrats' favor even since 2020. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #21

That is the correct year to use for comparison! BumRushDaShow Nov 2022 #33

Yes, those are the numbers Deminpenn Nov 2022 #23

Yeah, his post is confusing. He tries to explain it but fails. progressoid Nov 2022 #32

Good news. It's unlikely many of these voters were ever polled central scrutinizer Nov 2022 #6

Yup, that is what I think. Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #10

Unless by young he means anyone under 65, young Democrats are not 81% of the electorate LonePirate Nov 2022 #11

Yeah that has me scratching my head ColinC Nov 2022 #13

That's correct. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #14

Yeah ColinC Nov 2022 #16

They CAN'T compare 2018 to now in PA because we didn't have early voting (no-excuse absentee ballot) BumRushDaShow Nov 2022 #15

Their numbers are also up from 2020: W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #18

Oh I know BumRushDaShow Nov 2022 #24

I've been playing around with the site -- it's very informative! -- and I've seen... W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #35

Well CA got rid of almost all of their GOP reps BumRushDaShow Nov 2022 #40

NYT just had an article about D on D action in California Sympthsical Nov 2022 #50

Well when NY itself redrew the lines BumRushDaShow Nov 2022 #57

Exactly right FakeNoose Nov 2022 #29

They could probably work the touch screens better than us oldsters BumRushDaShow Nov 2022 #38

Good news -- and a great link! -- muddied by the messenger, unfortunately. More good news: W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #17

His calculation is very misleading. triron Nov 2022 #20

It is great news! PortTack Nov 2022 #22

I'm soo happy to hear this! I lived in Pa. for 48 years of my life & still have a lot of friends & napi21 Nov 2022 #26

this looks great FINGERS CROSSED reymega life Nov 2022 #27

Please PA, do the right thing! Give Dr. Oz and Doug Mastriano the heave ho! Initech Nov 2022 #28

I have an op by newsweek which has a marist poll showing we are ahead in Arizona, Georgia, Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #49

Good news! Gives me hope...and hope that AZ youths turn out too! FlyingPiggy Nov 2022 #30

I hope so too! Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #52

Glad to hear it relayerbob Nov 2022 #31

Way up vs 2018, way down from 2020. Hard to read Amishman Nov 2022 #34

No, it's up from 2020 as well. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #37

2020 was a presidential year...totally different ball game...18 was a big turnout for a midterm... Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #54

21% increase? Where did this guy learn math? ... aggiesal Nov 2022 #36

The explanation is in the article. Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #56

Wow, what a sloppy way to explain that ... aggiesal Nov 2022 #59

Well, there you go! peggysue2 Nov 2022 #39

This guy is terrible at explaining things. BlueCheeseAgain Nov 2022 #41

Oh, good news! electric_blue68 Nov 2022 #42

Hmm. Some other numbers that are a little different. BlueCheeseAgain Nov 2022 #43

What are you talking about...if you compare the 18 to the 22...the youth vote is up for Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #45

Mail-in voting wasn't standard yet in 2018 (a pre-pandemic year). BlueCheeseAgain Nov 2022 #48

I'm getting the shivers wryter2000 Nov 2022 #44

Me too...fired up and ready to go... Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #46

It's the SC decision on Roe v Wade OneCrazyDiamond Nov 2022 #47

Yes! This is so encouraging!! Lunabell Nov 2022 #51

LIKE IT republianmushroom Nov 2022 #55

No matter how many times i read Chi' post, it doesn't make much sense. onenote Nov 2022 #58

He is talking about early youth vote questionseverything Nov 2022 #61