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W_HAMILTON

(10,338 posts)

32. 45% is actually pretty good, all things considered.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue Nov 8, 2022, 08:10 PM

Nov 2022

He had been polling the low 40s. I think probably the best we could hope for would be around 45%. Just with how fickle the electorate is, there's zero chance in today's hyper-partisan atmosphere that you would see a sitting president over 50%, so, all things considered, 45% is pretty good. I'll definitely take that, but I know they adjust exit polls as actual vote totals come in, so we will have to see how it ends up...

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Biden is at 45/54 in exits, not great. TFG at 37/60 - OOFF [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2022 OP

That's actually not bad. Claustrum Nov 2022 #1

This message was self-deleted by its author Wednesdays Nov 2022 #2

Actually, That's Good DarthDem Nov 2022 #3

It's okay news for 22, great news for 24. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2022 #6

Except there was another question about Biden running again that was badly upside down AZSkiffyGeek Nov 2022 #14

Eh. In 1982, only 36% of Americans said Reagan should run for reelection. Beautiful Disaster Nov 2022 #35

Obama looked like a loser at this stage in his first term- viva la Nov 2022 #38

The ones that stood out to me were... AZSkiffyGeek Nov 2022 #4

These are the big tells Mike_in_LA Nov 2022 #9

I saw AZ number that abortion is 6x/3x, Biden won 6x/3x. Claustrum Nov 2022 #12

You presume those are all democrats Jskudris55 Nov 2022 #37

The Repubs think democracy is threatened.... viva la Nov 2022 #39

These guys snowybirdie Nov 2022 #5

TFG is announcing next week DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2022 #8

Yeah, but.... Mike_in_LA Nov 2022 #7

Joe's number is very good for Presidents in the middle of their term. nt MerryHolidays Nov 2022 #10

They're identical to Obama's numbers in 2010. Beautiful Disaster Nov 2022 #31

45 is good uponit7771 Nov 2022 #11

Would you like to see Joe Biden run for president again in 2024? No 66% Yes 30% krawhitham Nov 2022 #13

I'm not sure what that means for tonight AZSkiffyGeek Nov 2022 #16

I know a lot of dems that don't want him to run again AkFemDem Nov 2022 #25

Not horrible given he's an incumbent presiding over horrendous inflation Azathoth Nov 2022 #15

There is reason to think exit polls should be pessimistic about Biden VMA131Marine Nov 2022 #18

I thought exits accounted for early voting... nt AZSkiffyGeek Nov 2022 #20

How? VMA131Marine Nov 2022 #21

They most definitely include early voters or exits would be profoundly skewed. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2022 #24

They do but these are preliminary numbers. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2022 #22

Inflation was way worse under Reagan maryellen99 Nov 2022 #19

Not really Azathoth Nov 2022 #23

Not fully true. In 1982, inflation was still 6.16%. So, it was definitely high and it hurt Reagan. Beautiful Disaster Nov 2022 #29

I got my first mortgage in 84.... 11 7/8ths % viva la Nov 2022 #40

Yup. My aunt bought a house in the 80s and it was something like 14%. Beautiful Disaster Nov 2022 #41

In general... the exit polls are bad for Dems... WarGamer Nov 2022 #17

If the age makeup of the electorate matches the exit polls them we are fucked. Ace Rothstein Nov 2022 #33

I'm seeing a slow buildup of lines at college campuses AZSkiffyGeek Nov 2022 #36

Absolutely wrong. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #34

absolutely State exit polls... GA and PA WarGamer Nov 2022 #42

Then specify that, because your original post was wrong. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #43

ok bud... WarGamer Nov 2022 #44

Actually that's good. Murphyb849 Nov 2022 #26

Biden's approval is identical to Obama's in the 2010 midterm exit polls - FWIW... Beautiful Disaster Nov 2022 #27

That's not bad mcar Nov 2022 #28

A lot of things can change in the next year. Biden can beat Trump. skylucy Nov 2022 #30

45% is actually pretty good, all things considered. W_HAMILTON Nov 2022 #32