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In reply to the discussion: North vs South [View all]

Celerity

(54,450 posts)
33. NC and GA going perma blue would be a game changer for POTUS
Thu Dec 15, 2022, 10:57 AM
Dec 2022
as long as we hold MI (or PA instead of MI) and VA (or, of course, as VA is the smallest of the 3 EV-wise, win MI and PA and lose VA) (I am perma bluing CO and MN for this exercise and in reality)

we can lose ALL of following states and still win


FL
TX
AZ
NV (or NH, not both unless we both ME-2 and NE-2, see below)
WI
PA (or lose MI IF we win PA, and then we could even lose BOTH NV and NH and still win)
OH
MO
IA
IN
KS
ME-2nd District
NE-2nd District




or (win PA, lose MI and lose BOTH NV and NH, plus still lose ME-2 and NE-2)



and finally, IF we win both NE-2 and ME-2 (ME-2 is the harder atm), we can also lose BOTH NH and NV and still win, even winning MI and losing PA) This scenario would make Nebraska FREAK out, as the Rethugs have been trying for years to stop the split vote, coming within only 1 vote once. IF NE stops splitting Maine HAS to do so too, or it may fuck us in some scenarios.

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North vs South [View all] Skittles Dec 2022 OP
The south is gaining population. jimfields33 Dec 2022 #1
I sincerely hope many of those moving to the South are Democrats/liberals. raccoon Dec 2022 #2
It's a crapshoot jimfields33 Dec 2022 #3
NC and GA going perma blue would be a game changer for POTUS Celerity Dec 2022 #33
lastly, IF we also perma blue AZ and NV, (and hold VA) we can lose BOTH PA AND MI as well Celerity Dec 2022 #34
That's really cool and quite frankly, I think the last map is the most likely. jimfields33 Dec 2022 #35
unfortunately, there is a decent shot we lose the Senate in 2024, the map is horrid for us Celerity Dec 2022 #37
I think today it's really more about urban vs rural Major Nikon Dec 2022 #4
That's been brewing for years and years... Wounded Bear Dec 2022 #5
" it's a bit out of place " Ferrets are Cool Dec 2022 #11
Concur. lambchopp59 Dec 2022 #17
Really? I live in rural TN and I've seen 5 men with guns in the last year Farmer-Rick Dec 2022 #19
Why people get weirded out about open carry I never understand. former9thward Dec 2022 #31
Who said we didn't get weirded out about Genki Hikari Dec 2022 #40
The poster I replied to said they walk out of places if they see open carry. former9thward Dec 2022 #41
Carrying guns in public should make people nervous everywhere Major Nikon Dec 2022 #15
Rural is rural Golfnbrew Dec 2022 #9
i live in tuolumne county. tc has been red since 1906. AllaN01Bear Dec 2022 #13
The tipping point will always be the suburbs Major Nikon Dec 2022 #14
Your keyboard to god's monitor...nt Wounded Bear Dec 2022 #21
yup Skittles Dec 2022 #28
"Evil City" vs. "Virtuous Countryside" has been a thing since Jefferson was president . . . hatrack Dec 2022 #16
and Fox Noise elevating the paranoia levels to full on crazy. lambchopp59 Dec 2022 #18
true Skittles Dec 2022 #26
according to "The HIll" blue states are bailing our red states Tickle Dec 2022 #6
New Mexico is a blue state. former9thward Dec 2022 #30
What would life be like Tickle Dec 2022 #32
Good catch! . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Dec 2022 #7
Some of 'em, ya gotta feel sorry. Like the idiot who rescued thekids in the basement of Comet Pizza. 3Hotdogs Dec 2022 #8
As a kid born in NJ in early 60's I would often tease my grandmother who was born in SC and moved to Pepsidog Dec 2022 #10
Back in the mid 1960s when I was a teen, wnylib Dec 2022 #22
That's funny. The South has so romanticized their past that it has blinded them to the truth. I'm Pepsidog Dec 2022 #23
I remember seeing one scene that was like wnylib Dec 2022 #24
Different culture for sure. It's a shame they keep electing the same people who do nothing for them Pepsidog Dec 2022 #25
They need to keep taxes as they are in the south. jimfields33 Dec 2022 #36
And if the world isn't about to crash, plimsoll Dec 2022 #12
I feel bad for them, too, considering that people who scoff at Covid and refuse the vaccine are so LaMouffette Dec 2022 #20
when I... myohmy2 Dec 2022 #27
Also City folk versus Cuntry folk Kennah Dec 2022 #29
Notice how Texans practically shove their state flag in your face dalton99a Dec 2022 #38
I think ITAL Dec 2022 #39
Yeah, that plays a part, but another reason Genki Hikari Dec 2022 #42
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