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In reply to the discussion: They are not telling the story of food price inflation [View all]Progressive dog
(7,604 posts)120. the 12% is the average price
The market basket uses two years of actual sales (dollar value as and measure) as the reference for inflation. The new price per equal amount is the new price. The quantity purchased in the two year reference is the market basket. Each item may have a different price inflation.
This is interesting, meat prices did increase faster than the food average.
In 2022, food price increases are expected to be above the increases in 2020 and 2021. In 2022, all food prices are predicted to increase between 9.5 and 10.5 percent, food-at-home prices are predicted to increase between 11.0 and 12.0 percent, and food-away-from-home prices are predicted to increase between 7.0 and 8.0 percent. Food prices are expected to grow more slowly in 2023 than in 2022, but still at above historical average rates. In 2023, all food prices are predicted to increase between 3.5 and 4.5 percent, food-at-home prices are predicted to increase between 3.0 and 4.0 percent, and food-away-from-home prices are predicted to increase between 4.0 and 5.0 percent.
Recent Historical Overview
Between the 1970s and early 2000s, food-at-home prices and food-away-from-home prices increased at similar rates. Since 2009, however, their rates of growth have mostly diverged; while food-at-home prices deflated in 2016 and 2017, monthly food-away-from-home prices have been rising consistently since then. The divergence is partly due to differences between the costs of serving prepared food at restaurants and retailing food in supermarkets and grocery stores.
In 2020, food-at-home prices increased 3.5 percent and food-away-from-home prices 3.4 percent. This convergence was largely driven by a rapid increase in food-at-home prices, while food-away-from-home price inflation remained within 0.3 percentage points of the 2019 inflation rate. The largest price increases were for meat categories: beef and veal prices increased by 9.6 percent, pork prices by 6.3 percent, and poultry prices by 5.6 percent. The only category to decrease in price in 2020 was fresh fruits, by 0.8 percent.
In 2021, food-at-home prices increased 3.5 percent and food-away-from-home prices increased 4.5 percent. The CPI for all food increased an average of 3.9 percent in 2021. Of all the CPI food-at-home categories tracked by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Economic Research Service (ERS), the beef and veal category had the largest relative price increase (9.3 percent) and the fresh vegetables category the smallest (1.1 percent). No food categories decreased in price in 2021 compared with prices in 2020.
Recent Historical Overview
Between the 1970s and early 2000s, food-at-home prices and food-away-from-home prices increased at similar rates. Since 2009, however, their rates of growth have mostly diverged; while food-at-home prices deflated in 2016 and 2017, monthly food-away-from-home prices have been rising consistently since then. The divergence is partly due to differences between the costs of serving prepared food at restaurants and retailing food in supermarkets and grocery stores.
In 2020, food-at-home prices increased 3.5 percent and food-away-from-home prices 3.4 percent. This convergence was largely driven by a rapid increase in food-at-home prices, while food-away-from-home price inflation remained within 0.3 percentage points of the 2019 inflation rate. The largest price increases were for meat categories: beef and veal prices increased by 9.6 percent, pork prices by 6.3 percent, and poultry prices by 5.6 percent. The only category to decrease in price in 2020 was fresh fruits, by 0.8 percent.
In 2021, food-at-home prices increased 3.5 percent and food-away-from-home prices increased 4.5 percent. The CPI for all food increased an average of 3.9 percent in 2021. Of all the CPI food-at-home categories tracked by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Economic Research Service (ERS), the beef and veal category had the largest relative price increase (9.3 percent) and the fresh vegetables category the smallest (1.1 percent). No food categories decreased in price in 2021 compared with prices in 2020.
https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings/
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Absolutely grocery stores as well as other retailers raised prices just because they could
iluvtennis
Jan 2023
#21
The media ignores it because that is one of their prime advertising patrons.
Ford_Prefect
Jan 2023
#37
"Family sized"...now turn the box sideways and find it's only 1.5 inches thick!
NullTuples
Jan 2023
#31
I haven't seen a 3-inch thick box of cereal in years...different market/region perhaps?
NullTuples
Jan 2023
#90
always real quick to raise prices to cover "costs" but real slow dropping prices back.
bullimiami
Jan 2023
#5
I don't give them that much credit when it could be simple greed, not foresight.
NullTuples
Jan 2023
#35
For years the food companies have been reducing the size of containers or net weight
mnhtnbb
Jan 2023
#9
Agreed. However, the systematic across-the-board price changes are clearly not 8% or even 10%
dalton99a
Jan 2023
#26
While there has been consolidation, I don't agree that there isn't competition.
toesonthenose
Jan 2023
#24
Grocery stores have been routinely raising prices on everything by at least 15-20%
dalton99a
Jan 2023
#15
Mr.Barnes and I eating less and cheaper, though we can afford meat and such, don't care
joanbarnes
Jan 2023
#52
You're exactly right - the "sale" price is really a markup from the week before
FakeNoose
Jan 2023
#53
Kroger merging with Albertsons to form yet another mega monopoly is not good news.
Hope22
Jan 2023
#55
So many retailers are just making fun of us now. In one local mid-priced restaurant, the menu
Scrivener7
Jan 2023
#106
So if they raised the price of butter and milk a few years ago, people would have stopped buying ?
MichMan
Jan 2023
#115
I'm probably late, but I just learned that the cost of eggs is inflated due to avian flu
ecstatic
Jan 2023
#114