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In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight Are on ABC's Chopping Block [View all]BumRushDaShow
(170,228 posts)It was very very frustrating here in PA with what they were doing with the narratives AND a lack of quality polls. So there was all the "guessing" and unabashedly filling in the gaps in the number of reliable non-partisan polls, with RW drivel ones.
A HUGE case in point is that NO ONE predicted that Democrats would flip the PA State House. NO ONE.
We gained 12 seats (for 102 (D) - 101 (R) majority) and right now, pending a special election for 3 (D) seats (1 to replace a state Rep. who passed away just before this past election, 1 to replace a Rep. who is now a brand new member of Congress, and 1 to replace a Rep. who resigned to become Lt. Governor), the chamber is at a standstill.
The GOP refuses to stand down so through an odd election of a (D) who indicated that he would govern as an (I) as Speaker (and not the GOP retaining the Speakership since we are still due to have the special elections where Democrats WILL BE in the majority), the state House is not in session, and the GOP is throwing fits.
I say tough shit.
So this is the type of thing that the aggregators missed and the so-called "accurate" polls ALSO missed. And this repeated in other states as well because Democrats managed to gain something like (IIRC) 4 "Trifectas". This in a year where there was a guaranteed RED TIDE that would wipe Democrats off the face of the earth.