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Response to tavalon (Reply #49)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 06:59 AM

51. No, I think that poll was error.

 

It was Mason-Dixon, not Gallup as I thought. Certainly there were a couple pollsters who were just spewing propaganda, like Gravis. MD actually is a polling company, and this poll was done for non-partisan news outlets. WHere they went wrong (and many of the other polls), was their LV model falsely assumed Dems had an enthusiasm gap, thus wouldn't repeat the minority and youth turnout of 2008. But OFA in fact had a strong ground game that didn't stop after 2008... they kept building the base in AA barbershops, Hispanic beauty salons,etc. The minority and youth turnout even exceeded 2008, which caught both pollsters and the GOP by surprise, and offset the losses Obama had with Independants.

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grantcart Nov 2012 OP
Sedona Nov 2012 #1
grantcart Nov 2012 #10
nc4bo Nov 2012 #2
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Jackpine Radical Nov 2012 #3
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central scrutinizer Nov 2012 #6
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ananda Nov 2012 #7
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grantcart Nov 2012 #9
CoffeeCat Nov 2012 #17
grantcart Nov 2012 #45
HooptieWagon Nov 2012 #23
tavalon Nov 2012 #49
LineLineLineLineNew Reply No, I think that poll was error.
HooptieWagon Nov 2012 #51
HooptieWagon Nov 2012 #50
LaydeeBug Nov 2012 #13
grantcart Nov 2012 #40
LaydeeBug Nov 2012 #43
freshwest Nov 2012 #14
thevoiceofreason Nov 2012 #15
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Historic NY Nov 2012 #16
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cliffordu Nov 2012 #18
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reformist2 Nov 2012 #21
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