2014 Senate Midterm Elections - I don't see any big races in this one [View all]

[LynneSin]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2014

I think the riskiest 2 democratic seats will be Mark Begich out of Alaska and Mark Warner in Virginia.

Any race out of Virginia is risky since it's a swing state and unlike 2008 when Warner was on the same ticket with Obama, this time Warner is the top name on the race - will we get enough voter turnout to re-elect Warner?

Alaska has always been a solid red state, Obama only got 41% this past election. Begich really lucked out in 2008 because Ted Stevens was under a big scandal and Mark pretty much was the only option left for Alaskan voters. I mean in 2010 when they had a nut job running as the Republican, Alaskan voters actually wrote in Lisa Murkowski's name instead of voting for the democrat. I suspect this seat will be on top of the list for the GOP to win back.

I'm also thinking that North Carolina, Louisiana and Minnesota might be big targets for the GOP. North Carolina did flip back to Obama in 2012 so that might spell trouble for Kay Hagan's re-election. Al Franken of Minnesota barely squeaked by in his election after a 200+ day recount drama so I could see the GOP targeting him. And the GOP is always going after Mary Landieu of Louisiana but since Mary is pro-big Oil she tends to win again and again.

As for Republicans the ONLY blue state that could be playable is Maine but only if Susan Collins were to throw in the towel like Olympia Snowe did. If Collins runs then the GOP keeps that seat. But the rest of the states are some pretty solid blue ones.