General Discussion

madaboutharry

(42,034 posts) Fri Sep 1, 2023, 01:48 PM Sep 2023

I don't believe these polls Steve Kornacki is talking about. [View all]

Who are these polling companies even reaching? Certainly not young millennials and Gen Z. Are they calling people on landlines? I don't even have a landline anymore.

I think former republican congresswoman Barbara Comstock, who just spoke on MSNBC is right. She called Trump a loser and said he is going to remain a loser.

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I don't believe these polls Steve Kornacki is talking about. [View all] madaboutharry Sep 2023 OP

Which polls? Polybius Sep 2023 #1

He was at his "Big Board" showing that Biden was only 1 point madaboutharry Sep 2023 #3

He was annoying because you didn't like what he said? brooklynite Sep 2023 #9

The problem is that there are a lot of people who don't answer calls from numbers they do not JohnSJ Sep 2023 #17

But now you're asserting without evidence that polling firms can't address that issue. brooklynite Sep 2023 #18

How? If someone doesn't answer a call how do they know it is because they aren't available, JohnSJ Sep 2023 #25

I'm not a pollster so I can't give an answer to satisfy you. brooklynite Sep 2023 #29

They use it because that is the only tool they have. There are variables that they base on JohnSJ Sep 2023 #31

Weren't You? Aepps22 Sep 2023 #52

Good question. Cha Sep 2023 #62

I do remember that. LowerManhattanite Sep 2023 #69

+1 MorbidButterflyTat Sep 2023 #71

The last election showed clearly how terrible polling firms have become...some are now partisan Demsrule86 Sep 2023 #33

no it did not Celerity Sep 2023 #51

a lot of polls (some of them with quite good accuracy records) do not use live calls Celerity Sep 2023 #50

They use both, online and calling, including cell phones, and I think the demographic in JohnSJ Sep 2023 #58

there are all types of polls, including pure online panels Celerity Sep 2023 #59

Still online polls have to solicit people to participate, and the question is how many people in JohnSJ Sep 2023 #60

Many are very good at scientifically assembling a large and widely representative panel. Celerity Sep 2023 #63

No is because he's presenting polls out of perspective, Joe Biden is doing par for this century uponit7771 Sep 2023 #46

He was annoying MorbidButterflyTat Sep 2023 #70

He's not claiming Trump is "more popular". He's claiming Trump is more popular WITH REPUNLICANS brooklynite Sep 2023 #76

Worrisome - tied in latest polls womanofthehills Sep 2023 #21

Bullshit polls by bullshit pollsters...we don't elect directly thus state poll should be better but Demsrule86 Sep 2023 #34

It's way too early to poll Polybius Sep 2023 #66

I haven't believed a poll since Comey screwed Clinton. LakeArenal Sep 2023 #2

It is all BS, I turned it off and then he was on again and I turned him off again. Bev54 Sep 2023 #4

I turned that off right quick montanacowboy Sep 2023 #5

Yet inthewind21 Sep 2023 #22

I don't believe any of them. Demsrule86 Sep 2023 #35

? wnylib Sep 2023 #64

Bull MorbidButterflyTat Sep 2023 #72

What inthewind21 Sep 2023 #23

Trump's base is not large enought to win a General. Demsrule86 Sep 2023 #36

It was in 2016. wnylib Sep 2023 #65

It's complete and total bullshit. onecaliberal Sep 2023 #6

Talking heads want a close election for their job security. Emile Sep 2023 #7

And you're telling us it WON'T be a close election? brooklynite Sep 2023 #10

A lot has happened since the last election. Recent elections Emile Sep 2023 #13

We're not arguing about who's likely to win; we're arguing about the vote margin, brooklynite Sep 2023 #15

No you are arguing. Emile Sep 2023 #16

The complaint in this thread is that polling pointing to a close election is incorrect. brooklynite Sep 2023 #19

2022 is a recent election. And it shows a closely divided electorate onenote Sep 2023 #45

Wasn't the Republicans expecting large wins in 2022? The Red Wave Emile Sep 2023 #48

Not getting large wins isn't the same as the election not being close. In fact its the opposite. onenote Sep 2023 #56

In 2022 US House national number, Rethugs outvoted Dems by over 3 million total Celerity Sep 2023 #53

No, I don't think it will be close. Demsrule86 Sep 2023 #37

I do and so does the DNC. brooklynite Sep 2023 #38

It'll probably be within 3 points Polybius Sep 2023 #67

Why do you keep doing that? MorbidButterflyTat Sep 2023 #73

Is he wearing khaki pants and a polo shirt? maxrandb Sep 2023 #8

Yes MorbidButterflyTat Sep 2023 #74

I saw his coverage of the polls karynnj Sep 2023 #11

Exactly. How many people answer calls from numbers they don't recognize? I sure don't, especially JohnSJ Sep 2023 #14

I have no idea, but I believe that people who don't answer calls from numbers they do not recognize JohnSJ Sep 2023 #12

Agree 100% chia Sep 2023 #20

+1 honest.abe Sep 2023 #26

Pretty much everyone I know sceens calls Tree Lady Sep 2023 #61

If it helps, think for a moment about the likelihood of who responds to these polls. Arthur_Frain Sep 2023 #24

The 2016 election proved Republicans are easily conned. Emile Sep 2023 #28

We can't trust the polls and it's too early anyway. yardwork Sep 2023 #27

M$M has a vested interest in "horse race" polling results BlueIdaho Sep 2023 #30

IMO the numbers are misleading. LiberalFighter Sep 2023 #32

I don't believe those polls, either, madaboutharry. Anyone with two brain cells to rub together BComplex Sep 2023 #39

I think the whole polling industry is in trouble. honest.abe Sep 2023 #40

it is all about getting a reliable sample plan and weighting it correctly Recycle_Guru Sep 2023 #41

Polls are fine Sympthsical Sep 2023 #42

The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 Celerity Sep 2023 #49

I found their pollster ratings really useful in 2022 Sympthsical Sep 2023 #54

Some the most accurate polls use at least partial online methodology Celerity Sep 2023 #55

I left out an important component Sympthsical Sep 2023 #57

DO NOT WATCH CABLE NEWS budkin Sep 2023 #43

I don't know anyone under 30 who answers their phone at all. Mr.Bill Sep 2023 #44

Trump will get 45% of the vote even if he's sitting in a federal prison Azathoth Sep 2023 #47

As usual, Kornacki is WAY too happy, reporting about these latest polls. Paladin Sep 2023 #68

Right there with ya. MorbidButterflyTat Sep 2023 #75