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In reply to the discussion: I don't believe these polls Steve Kornacki is talking about. [View all]
madaboutharry
(42,034 posts)3. He was at his "Big Board" showing that Biden was only 1 point
ahead and it was just terrible for him because in 2020 he was further ahead and now that Trump is under indictment for 91 felonies, well...everyone just likes him more!
He was really annoying.
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The problem is that there are a lot of people who don't answer calls from numbers they do not
JohnSJ
Sep 2023
#17
But now you're asserting without evidence that polling firms can't address that issue.
brooklynite
Sep 2023
#18
How? If someone doesn't answer a call how do they know it is because they aren't available,
JohnSJ
Sep 2023
#25
They use it because that is the only tool they have. There are variables that they base on
JohnSJ
Sep 2023
#31
The last election showed clearly how terrible polling firms have become...some are now partisan
Demsrule86
Sep 2023
#33
a lot of polls (some of them with quite good accuracy records) do not use live calls
Celerity
Sep 2023
#50
They use both, online and calling, including cell phones, and I think the demographic in
JohnSJ
Sep 2023
#58
Still online polls have to solicit people to participate, and the question is how many people in
JohnSJ
Sep 2023
#60
Many are very good at scientifically assembling a large and widely representative panel.
Celerity
Sep 2023
#63
No is because he's presenting polls out of perspective, Joe Biden is doing par for this century
uponit7771
Sep 2023
#46
He's not claiming Trump is "more popular". He's claiming Trump is more popular WITH REPUNLICANS
brooklynite
Sep 2023
#76
Bullshit polls by bullshit pollsters...we don't elect directly thus state poll should be better but
Demsrule86
Sep 2023
#34
It is all BS, I turned it off and then he was on again and I turned him off again.
Bev54
Sep 2023
#4
We're not arguing about who's likely to win; we're arguing about the vote margin,
brooklynite
Sep 2023
#15
The complaint in this thread is that polling pointing to a close election is incorrect.
brooklynite
Sep 2023
#19
Not getting large wins isn't the same as the election not being close. In fact its the opposite.
onenote
Sep 2023
#56
In 2022 US House national number, Rethugs outvoted Dems by over 3 million total
Celerity
Sep 2023
#53
Exactly. How many people answer calls from numbers they don't recognize? I sure don't, especially
JohnSJ
Sep 2023
#14
I have no idea, but I believe that people who don't answer calls from numbers they do not recognize
JohnSJ
Sep 2023
#12
If it helps, think for a moment about the likelihood of who responds to these polls.
Arthur_Frain
Sep 2023
#24