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In reply to the discussion: Hmmm… Why Was Karl Rove So Adamant that Romney Not Concede Ohio? [View all]democrattotheend
(12,011 posts)Marist had Kerry up by 1, but every single other poll had Bush leading, albeit by varying margins. In other words, pretty much the same as this year.
The MSM polls pretty much all had Obama ahead this year, by margins that probably made it too hard to steal without someone noticing. But you are right that there was a wide variation...some polls had Obama up 5-6 but others only 1 and Ras had it tied. Since the media tends to mostly report their own polls, it is a little surprising that they didn't seem to notice that the Marist poll had Obama up 6 and he only won by 2. I guess they figure as long as he won it's not news. But if he had lost it would have been surprising enough that it might have raised suspicions.
Not necessarily the case if Kerry had won, because he was the challenger, but the fact that Bush was leading in all the polls makes it harder to believe that Kerry actually won but had it taken away from him by rigged machines. If there had been a national shift toward Kerry in the last few days then I might believe it.