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In reply to the discussion: Romney is finished [View all]grantcart
(53,061 posts)42. Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaargh
This
is
my
point
Old system
gone
Here are the new rules
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2012#Ohio_Plan_proposal
Guidelines for primary and caucus dates
Based on a temporary committee's proposal, the Republican National Committee (RNC) adopted new rules for the timing of elections on August 6, 2010 with 103 votes in favor out of 144.[228] Under this plan, elections for delegates to the national convention were to be divided into three periods:[229]
February 1 March 5, 2012: Contests of traditional early states Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina
March 6 March 31, 2012: Contests that proportionally allocate delegates
April 1, 2012 and onward: All other contests including winner-take-all elections
By the fall of 2011, several states scheduled contests contravening this plan, pushing the primary calendar into January. These contests are in violation of RNC rules, with New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, Arizona, and Michigan set to be penalized with a loss of half of their delegates. As they are holding non-binding caucuses, Iowa, Colorado, Maine and Minnesota will not be automatically penalized, as their contests to bind national delegates are made later.[230]
so between March 6 -31 proportional how many could that be?
TWENTY ONE
Here they are
March 6
Alaska
Georgia
Idaho
Massachusetts
North Dakota
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Texas
Vermont
Virginia
Wyoming
March 10-13
Kansas
US Virgin Isl
Alabama
American Samoa
Hawaii
Missisippi
March 17 -24
Missouri
Puerto Rico
Illinoois
Lousiana
Last Huckabee didn't give up until they hit 51% and this time there will be no reason for anybody to stop, if they don't have much money they just can go and do cable.
If they keep it undecided they can go to the convention and wield more power, possible hold out for VP or a committment for a cabinet position. I am sure that Huntsman would love to be SOS and so on.
If you remember the Democratic Primary it remained very close when there were only two candidates. If there are three or more, and you have a large number of proportional selected delegates then it is virtually impossible to get 51% unless you take almost all of the winner take all primaries.
There are about 400 Super Delegates and all but about 20 of them are sitting on the sides, uncommitted.
http://www.democraticconventionwatch.com/diary/4726/republican-superdelegate-endorsement-list
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No one will be drafted from the floor. One of these clowns will emerge. And that's it.
RBInMaine
Dec 2011
#1
You are still operating on the old rules where a winner got all of the delegates.
grantcart
Dec 2011
#5
Now I am confused when you hit on Gingrich's graph how do you conclude that he is slipping,
grantcart
Dec 2011
#25
Let's ask it this way. Currently no candidate is getting more than 35% in any one primary.
grantcart
Dec 2011
#31
Rick Perry, Mitt Romney internals show Newt Gingrich slippage, sources say
DavidDvorkin
Dec 2011
#30
An old college classmate of mine is actually heading up Newt's local campaign.
Tommy_Carcetti
Dec 2011
#46