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Celerity

(54,450 posts)
70. Only if we retain the Senate, and with WV 99.9% flipped to R, we have to defend all the rest, as we are very
Fri Feb 9, 2024, 04:53 PM
Feb 2024

unlikely to flip any of the only 10 seats (versus our 23) that the Rethugs have to defend. All 10 are in Red, mostly deep Red States.

Even if it is 50/50 (what it would be if only WV and no other State flips either way), there is huge legal dispute as to whether the VP can cast a tie.breaking vote (in this case, Harris, for herself) in terms of choosing the VP in a disputed EC election. And even that possiblity goes away if we get to noon, January 20th, 2025 with no Senate voted-upon winner, as then Harris is no longer VP and thus no longer the President of the Senate.

I have little expectations/hopes that we flip TX or FL, which I know is an unpopular opinion for some here, but one that I have held for ages, when I looked ahead to 2024 (my posts on this are here on DU).

We also have to depend many seats that are not locks at all.

MT
OH
AZ
NV
PA
WI
MI
MD (with Hogan now running, it is now no longer a pure lock)

Hogan was one of the 4 hugely popular Rethug governors I feared would run for the Seante in 2024. The other 3 have (so far) said no: Sandoval (NV), Baker (MA), and Ducey (AZ, but he would have a hard time winnning the insane MAGAt-dominated Rethug primary process)

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I want Biden to choose. Groundhawg Feb 2024 #1
I think Biden has done a fantastic job Beausoleil Feb 2024 #2
I think all the cabinet routinely step aside each 4 years Bucky Feb 2024 #7
Agreed Beausoleil Feb 2024 #13
No they don't brooklynite Feb 2024 #31
It's sort of yes & no SocialDemocrat61 Feb 2024 #63
They may routinely OFFER their resignations, elleng Feb 2024 #78
If Biden wins edhopper Feb 2024 #3
How could Biden loose? Groundhawg Feb 2024 #25
You are going to be surprised at how many people will vote for trump, if, he is a candidate. republianmushroom Feb 2024 #33
Part of the reason Hillary lost was because James Comey reopened an investigation near the election. LiberalFighter Feb 2024 #47
Agree, but that was only a small part of the reason trump won. republianmushroom Feb 2024 #54
Don't forget the single issue purists bottomofthehill Feb 2024 #108
We won't be surprised. 74 million voted for the orange orge in 2020... brush Feb 2024 #86
A handful of swing voters in key States edhopper Feb 2024 #43
The simplest minimum EV ways? Map stays the same except Trump flips only GA and PA, or flips only GA, WI, and AZ, or Celerity Feb 2024 #45
It is unlikely Drumpf gets the flips he needs. Especially with Pennsylvania. LiberalFighter Feb 2024 #50
Still, those are definitely within the realm of possibilities, as opposed to many who say it is basically impossible for Celerity Feb 2024 #61
The Senate elects the VP though Polybius Feb 2024 #66
While it would be amusing NYC Liberal Feb 2024 #67
Only if we retain the Senate, and with WV 99.9% flipped to R, we have to defend all the rest, as we are very Celerity Feb 2024 #70
Sorry, wut? dpibel Feb 2024 #83
The Constitution Polybius Feb 2024 #87
XII amendment dpibel Feb 2024 #95
We were talking about in the event of a 269-269 tie Polybius Feb 2024 #96
How could he lose? Polybius Feb 2024 #65
Lose maveric Feb 2024 #97
Please don't say that in earshot of someone who lives in Texas. hamsterjill Feb 2024 #107
Sally Yates eg BeyondGeography Feb 2024 #34
Great choice! edhopper Feb 2024 #44
Depending on the speed of Justice, no_hypocrisy Feb 2024 #4
That's my thought too. Think. Again. Feb 2024 #9
Obama nominated Garland, miscalculating that Republicans loved their ideas more than holding power Bucky Feb 2024 #5
Heeerrre's Jackky DoBW Feb 2024 #6
Not only that, but... Think. Again. Feb 2024 #10
ABG. MOMFUDSKI Feb 2024 #8
A registered Democrat for a change! Emile Feb 2024 #11
Garland was first appointed by Bill Clinton in 1997, LeftInTX Feb 2024 #42
and he's not a registered Democrat. Emile Feb 2024 #64
How do you know? LeftInTX Feb 2024 #71
He is a registered independent that I do know. Emile Feb 2024 #72
What does that mean? Kagan and Sotomayor are not listed by party affiliation LeftInTX Feb 2024 #73
It means, it would be nice to have a registered Democrat. Emile Feb 2024 #81
The problem is: If an AG comes from the Federal Judiciary or State's Attorney office, their voting records are hidden LeftInTX Feb 2024 #88
It's not that hard to see if someone is a member of the Federalist Society. Emile Feb 2024 #100
Why did Obama and Biden nominate him? LeftInTX Feb 2024 #104
Why not nominate from the American Constitution Society Emile Feb 2024 #105
Hillary Clinton 0rganism Feb 2024 #12
I like that! Beausoleil Feb 2024 #14
Acronym is fantastico DoBW Feb 2024 #16
I've got the perfect candidate: Fiendish Thingy Feb 2024 #15
It does seem that Obama selected him to appease the right wing Beausoleil Feb 2024 #20
Pence was a private citizen, so no SC was justified Fiendish Thingy Feb 2024 #35
Proud Boys and Oath Keepers were not the coup plotters Beausoleil Feb 2024 #40
I am not your research library Fiendish Thingy Feb 2024 #49
The point of the thread was to allow folks to express their opinions Beausoleil Feb 2024 #56
I have no problem hearing a wide range of opinions Fiendish Thingy Feb 2024 #60
Frank Figliuzzi Captain Zero Feb 2024 #82
Thank you for adding facts and common sense to this thread. Ocelot II Feb 2024 #51
And thanks to you too Fiendish Thingy Feb 2024 #53
Someone whose natural instinct isn't to coddle and protect republican criminals ecstatic Feb 2024 #17
Good points! Beausoleil Feb 2024 #26
I like Lawrence Tribe. ananda Feb 2024 #18
Tribe has never prosecuted a criminal case in his entire career. Fiendish Thingy Feb 2024 #55
Thanks. ananda Feb 2024 #68
Keith Ellison rurallib Feb 2024 #19
Loretta James from New York Johonny Feb 2024 #21
Letitia James? MichMan Feb 2024 #62
Do you mean to suggest Loretta Lynch? Niagara Feb 2024 #79
Glenn Kirschner Kennah Feb 2024 #22
I agree with the choice of Glenn Caliman73 Feb 2024 #29
Adam Schiff Firestorm49 Feb 2024 #23
Want him for Rebl2 Feb 2024 #37
How about a liberal Democrat for a change? yardwork Feb 2024 #24
Letitia James Deep State Witch Feb 2024 #27
I nominate myself! GreenWave Feb 2024 #28
Hillary Clinton gopiscrap Feb 2024 #30
Is calling a Biden appointee a "Federalist Society hack" acceptable around here? brooklynite Feb 2024 #32
The impresson is that he was nominated for SCOTUS because he would be acceptable to the Beausoleil Feb 2024 #36
Neal Katyal Rebl2 Feb 2024 #38
My sentiments, exactly. Paladin Feb 2024 #41
Sally Yates. intheflow Feb 2024 #39
I agree! Some of the other suggestions I can get behind, but Sally would be my 1st choice. Fla Dem Feb 2024 #69
If we don't win back the senate then its likely Marrick Garland jcgoldie Feb 2024 #46
This is true Beausoleil Feb 2024 #48
I think Kaytal would rather spend his time on tv bigtree Feb 2024 #52
Neal Katyal. The best choice Naio Feb 2024 #57
Katyal has been an effective appellate lawyer, but Ocelot II Feb 2024 #59
Whoever he wants. Ocelot II Feb 2024 #58
ANYBODY ELSE with pro-democracy and true 'rule-of-law' credentials.... DemocraticPatriot Feb 2024 #74
Obama should have told McConnell Beausoleil Feb 2024 #90
Dan Goldman. W_HAMILTON Feb 2024 #75
It depends on whether or not Dems control the House and/or Senate. RockRaven Feb 2024 #76
Whomever POTUS wants. elleng Feb 2024 #77
Literally anyone else... JT45242 Feb 2024 #80
Avoiding appearing political is in itself political. boston bean Feb 2024 #84
Preet Bharara would be a good choice. Garland has to go. brush Feb 2024 #85
Preet would be good! LeftInTX Feb 2024 #89
Interesting DET Feb 2024 #98
Not Merrick Garland mvd Feb 2024 #91
Jack Smith would be a nice choice tinrobot Feb 2024 #92
I thought of him mvd Feb 2024 #94
No reason to change the AG unless President Biden feels the need. brooklynite Feb 2024 #93
You've used this line before. W_HAMILTON Feb 2024 #99
The president could fire Garland anytime he wants. totodeinhere Feb 2024 #101
And if you think the shitstorm from that MAGA Special Counsel was something, just wait to see what happens... W_HAMILTON Feb 2024 #102
He might feel the need. SocialDemocrat61 Feb 2024 #109
Hunter MichMan Feb 2024 #103
LOL! Beausoleil Feb 2024 #106
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