General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Who should serve as AG in the next Biden term? [View all]Celerity
(54,450 posts)unlikely to flip any of the only 10 seats (versus our 23) that the Rethugs have to defend. All 10 are in Red, mostly deep Red States.
Even if it is 50/50 (what it would be if only WV and no other State flips either way), there is huge legal dispute as to whether the VP can cast a tie.breaking vote (in this case, Harris, for herself) in terms of choosing the VP in a disputed EC election. And even that possiblity goes away if we get to noon, January 20th, 2025 with no Senate voted-upon winner, as then Harris is no longer VP and thus no longer the President of the Senate.
I have little expectations/hopes that we flip TX or FL, which I know is an unpopular opinion for some here, but one that I have held for ages, when I looked ahead to 2024 (my posts on this are here on DU).
We also have to depend many seats that are not locks at all.
MT
OH
AZ
NV
PA
WI
MI
MD (with Hogan now running, it is now no longer a pure lock)
Hogan was one of the 4 hugely popular Rethug governors I feared would run for the Seante in 2024. The other 3 have (so far) said no: Sandoval (NV), Baker (MA), and Ducey (AZ, but he would have a hard time winnning the insane MAGAt-dominated Rethug primary process)