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Yavin4

(37,182 posts)

15. All political polls measure what people tell pollsters. Not who actually votes on election day.

Reply to gab13by13 (Original post)

Tue Feb 13, 2024, 11:43 PM

Feb 2024

All self-reporting polls should be taken with a high degree of skepticism. What wins elections is who turns out to vote. Trump's supporters are extremely enthusiastic about Trump but no one else.

Polls are not good at predicting results unless incumbency is involved or high name recognition.

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A Question For People Who Still Believe In Polls [View all] gab13by13 Feb 2024 OP

What did the fucking polls say about the race? SoFlaBro Feb 2024 #1

The one I saw here, Suozzi +1 gab13by13 Feb 2024 #3

So a win well within the margin of fucking error. SoFlaBro Feb 2024 #10

Most were Suozzi +4 Mountainguy Feb 2024 #4

It could jolly goddamn well end up being a double digit win. SoFlaBro Feb 2024 #11

I don't think so Mountainguy Feb 2024 #13

Almost every poll I saw Mountainguy Feb 2024 #2

Did not see a +4 here at DU gab13by13 Feb 2024 #5

Here they are Mountainguy Feb 2024 #6

I don't have a home phone, and don't Melon Feb 2024 #7

It's over 17 points right now Johnny2X2X Feb 2024 #8

I bet those +4 polls Mountainguy Feb 2024 #14

Polls this year have missed a lot of Dem support. (Polls aren't as historically bad as a lot of people seem to think.) Silent3 Feb 2024 #9

Dirty secret: polls are based on pollsters' assumptions about turnout. A wrong assumption gives a wrong conclusion! tableturner Feb 2024 #12

All political polls measure what people tell pollsters. Not who actually votes on election day. Yavin4 Feb 2024 #15

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