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In reply to the discussion: Schiff v Garvey will likely draw more Rethugs voters out than Schiff v Porter would have. Those extra Rethug [View all]brush
(61,033 posts)54. Google it. It's all true. You must be too young as a baseball fan to know of Garvey's scuzz ball rep.
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Schiff v Garvey will likely draw more Rethugs voters out than Schiff v Porter would have. Those extra Rethug [View all]
Celerity
Mar 2024
OP
Yes, but now the major Rethug donors will toss in a massive amount of money to raise Garvey up for House coat-tail
Celerity
Mar 2024
#5
Like a nat, swat them away. I know it's a possibility but hopefully with President Biden and representative
jimfields33
Mar 2024
#7
Perhaps not? If Porter was in the race, they actually would have had a realistic opportunity to defeat Schiff
tritsofme
Mar 2024
#3
Massive Rethug money will now flow into Garvey, just for driving statewide coattails for those close House races, and
Celerity
Mar 2024
#15
The chance of Schiff losing is almost zero. Garvey will be defeated by a massive margin similar to Trump
tritsofme
Mar 2024
#21
More Rethugs will vote for an actual Rethug versus Schiff than ever would have voted for the Demcoratic candidate
Celerity
Mar 2024
#26
it will not be 'wasted' IF increased Rethug statewide turnout results in us losing a couple close US House races.
Celerity
Mar 2024
#33
If this were a midterm election, I'd agree. But it's a presidential election, so Trump will draw 'em out.
All Mixed Up
Mar 2024
#22
When this Senate seat was last contested, it was in 2018, and was Dem v Dem AND a midterm, yet de Leon
Celerity
Mar 2024
#76
Mueser was a nobody, Padilla was an incumbent and the first Latino to represent California in the U.S. Senate, plus
Celerity
Mar 2024
#87
I am positing possibilities based off multiple reasons that I have posted up and down this thread.
Celerity
Mar 2024
#96
Schiff will still have to spend a tonne, and now the big Rethug money can flow into Garvey in the hope
Celerity
Mar 2024
#103
I assume Lee will be replaced in the House by another Democrat. I'm afraid Porter's seat
LauraInLA
Mar 2024
#4
The cumulative Democratic vote in CA 47 jungle primary is hovering around 52%
DemocratSinceBirth
Mar 2024
#17
I always thought Porter was getting way ahead of herself by running for the Senate
calguy
Mar 2024
#19
that is not the concern, as I have explained in multiple posts, including my OP
Celerity
Mar 2024
#37
My fear is Garvey will go around to all those close districts and whip up a two-for-one Rethug poutrage storm:
Celerity
Mar 2024
#18
We are talking California for gosh sakes. 47% are registered Democrats, 24% are registered republicans, with 23%
JohnSJ
Mar 2024
#16
I think that Democrats and progressives in the state are just as motivated to come out and
JohnSJ
Mar 2024
#25
I absolutely think that a Schiff v Garvey race will increase Rethug turnout statewide more than a Schiff v Porter race
Celerity
Mar 2024
#31
Nope. Rs will now waste $ on Garvey, which will hurt funding for down-ticket Rs.
Sibelius Fan
Mar 2024
#44
I voted for Porter as well, partly to keep Garvey out. And any dollar the Rethugs spend on Garvey
Celerity
Mar 2024
#56
Maybe not such a good argument when our Presidential candidate is 81, just saying ....NT
kelly1mm
Mar 2024
#47
Garvey's toast. Is he alive? perform a breath test on his animated corpse, to be sure.
OAITW r.2.0
Mar 2024
#35
Isn't Steve Garvey like 6 years younger than President Biden? Maybe not so good an argument? nt
kelly1mm
Mar 2024
#46
the basic thesis here is that Garvey is going to have something like presidential coattails
stopdiggin
Mar 2024
#38
I don't see Garvey as having such 'gravitas' that it will draw any more
DemocraticPatriot
Mar 2024
#39
Google it. It's all true. You must be too young as a baseball fan to know of Garvey's scuzz ball rep.
brush
Mar 2024
#54
If I was "too young", I would not even RECOGNIZE his name from baseball.
DemocraticPatriot
Mar 2024
#57
I dunno. Garvey is a total scuzz ball. Beat his wife and had 2 outside kids while married.
brush
Mar 2024
#49
Is this net of the competitive seat Porter abandoned to run a futile campaign for senate?
mathematic
Mar 2024
#67
I disagree. I think having a high profile state-wide race will be a boon for Dem fundraising & turnout.
Bucky
Mar 2024
#68
Blaming Schiff isn't intellectually honest. Katie Porter's own district is being lost to a Repub because two Democrats
Nixie
Mar 2024
#71
Contrarywise.... a mudslinging GE between two democrats might suppress Democratic turnout
Happy Hoosier
Mar 2024
#72
And that is not my point, as I have explained up and down this OP thread. What 'worked' for Schiff could
Celerity
Mar 2024
#86
Yes, he spent his time attacking Republicans rather than fellow Democrats...
W_HAMILTON
Mar 2024
#108