it Generally uses registered voters not likely voters.
Also it assumes the following which makes this and other such bad polls
"Red Flag #1: Trump Keeps 97% Of His Supporters"
"Red Flag #2: Trump And Biden Are Tied With Women
This poll arrived in the same week when Trump announced his support for a national abortion ban. Trump brags about taking away reproductive healthcare rights from women, and his party is struggling as Alabama banned IVF, and that is just one issue. Trump was also found liable for rape. Donald Trump isn’t going to split the vote among women with Joe Biden.
Are you kidding me? After Roe and after Trump took credit for ending it, he is tied with some voters? It's idiotic on the part of these pollsters."
"Red Flag #3: Trump More Than Doubles His Support With African-American Voters.
The New York Times poll also found that there is going to be a historic African American voter realignment. The poll found that 23% of African Americans support Trump.
If 26% of black voters voted for Trump, it would be the most radical realignment in African American voting since the Civil Rights Act was passed"
https://tcinla757.substack.com/p/why-the-new-nytsiena-poll-is-bullshit
Now I don't (and the author too) think this is evidence of bias, but of bad methodology. The way they sample the data is faulty. They use landlines, and 9 times as many cell phones to correct for the use of cell phones. But the issue is only 19% of folks answer calls on cell phones where they don't recognize the name. Please consider, that the only way this poll can indicate Trump is leading is that every Trump voter will vote again for him ( we know that is not true for several reasons...one being Haley voters say they won't vote for Trump. Also Trump is not tied with Joe Biden in terms of support among women voters after Roe and Trump has not doubled the support of black voters.
This is why I call the poll bullshit as do many others. This sort of polling is why we win even though their shitty polls say otherwise. This is why we had a red fizzle and not red wave which polls expected...this is why we have won every special in 23 and 24. And this is why Biden will beat Trump handily in November.
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