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drray23

(7,811 posts) Sat Apr 13, 2024, 07:19 AM Apr 2024

Barack Obama won Florida . Could Biden do it ? [View all]

This November, there will be an abortion measure on the ballot in Florida. This will very likely motivate a lot more people to vote and hopefully to vote Democrat from top to bottom of ticket.

For the senate, polls are saying Rick Scott is still ahead of Debbie Mucarsel-Powel but I am not sure these polls properly capture the effect of having abortion on the ballot.

Likewise, Trump is polling ahead of BIden but there are still lots of undecided who could make the difference after a few more months of Trump trials and general jackasserie.

It might be a long shot but if Biden won it , it would all but close any possibility of Trump making it to 270.

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Barack Obama won Florida . Could Biden do it ? [View all] drray23 Apr 2024 OP

With abortion rights and marijuana legalization measures on the ballot, turn out will be high in Florida. sop Apr 2024 #1

Need a huge non Cuban Hispanic turnout. Funtatlaguy Apr 2024 #2

Cubans make up only 25% or so of FL Latinos so you cannot just blame them alone (like some incorrectly do on DU) for Celerity Apr 2024 #5

Probably not, but it should be a lot closer. Freethinker65 Apr 2024 #3

There has been seismic shift in Florida voter registration towards the Republicans... brooklynite Apr 2024 #4

It will be a long shot. sop Apr 2024 #9

So many of the boomers that moved here from New York love trump RandiFan1290 Apr 2024 #6

It's possible mcar Apr 2024 #7

gilliam, too. so close. mopinko Apr 2024 #8

So close mcar Apr 2024 #12

No he cannot. Raftergirl Apr 2024 #10

It was fairly close in 2020 Johnny2X2X Apr 2024 #11

Then all or a significant amount of Republicans will have to move back to wherever they came from In It to Win It Apr 2024 #15

Yes, a lot has changed Polybius Apr 2024 #19

No... and I live here and will vote for him In It to Win It Apr 2024 #13

Which means they have weakened anamnua Apr 2024 #14

So far, it just seems to be places where Republicans were already weak. In It to Win It Apr 2024 #16

Roe Roe your vote...abortion is on the ballot and a 60 point win is need thus...I think Demsrule86 Apr 2024 #18

In Florida, DeSantis has an approval of 47% Polybius Apr 2024 #20

Your using Emerson polls...No DeSantis is not popular in florida. He has Demsrule86 Apr 2024 #23

Sorry, but you're incorrect if you think that his approval is bad in Florida Polybius Apr 2024 #28

I think Florida is in play. I also think if we push Roe and Social Security...fixing the insurance Demsrule86 Apr 2024 #17

Unfortunately- right now not looking good womanofthehills Apr 2024 #24

They need a strong turnout in the blue counties Seasider Apr 2024 #21

Using 2020 numbers getting 185,844 votes of the 371,686 plus votes TSH got would do it. LiberalFighter Apr 2024 #22

Yes. H2O Man Apr 2024 #25

As one who is there one to two times per month...No Mark.b2 Apr 2024 #26

Trump himself literally IDed Florida as a swing state where he should be campaigning the Prairie Gates Apr 2024 #27

"vote Democrat" I sure you meant "vote DemocratIC" elocs Apr 2024 #29