Biden Is Likely Better Off Than the Polls Suggest

[lees1975]

6. Actually, at this point in the 2012 election, Romney led Obama by 4.

And he was "ahead" in all of the important swing states. I remember 538 scrambling, just a week before the election, to try and reverse their predictions and numbers as a couple of the bigger, more accurate polls started showing less tightening, and more votes heading toward Obama.