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Fiendish Thingy

(21,834 posts)
1. You misunderstand odds and Lichtman.
Sun Jun 30, 2024, 11:40 PM
Jun 2024

Lichtman does much more than flip a coin, he considers several factors.

That he has been consistently right in his predictions is notable, but not a reason to use him as the sole source for strategic decision making.

Your post never seems to get to its point…Lichtman says Biden is favored to win using his criteria, you say, we should ignore these kinds of so-called experts, because…?

So, if we ignore Lichtman saying Biden is likely to win, then what are you suggesting?

There are thousands of people out there in the world predicting presidential races. It's never going to be that hard to find several "experts" with perfect or near-perfect track records.


OK, I’ll wait here while you go find them; surely there must thousands of coin flippers with great prediction records (if there are, I’m sure they would be bragging on the internet) - feel free to post them here, or if you can’t find anyone else with a record as impressive as Lichtman’s, feel free to acknowledge you were wrong.

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