About "experts" who've correctly predicted many presidential races

[Metaphorical]

3. It's not quite that simple

The Electoral College complicates things considerably, as it turns one plebiscite with around 160,000,000 people into an "election" by around 540 people with a distinct bias towards the right (the overall population tends to lean liberal by about 7%, but the electoral college leans conservative by about 5%), and because most of the states have a a winner take all system that reduces this 540 to basically 51 electors of varying strengths, with four states California, New York, Texas and Florida, making up about a third of the total.

This is what I think most Democrats either don't realize or acknowledge - we have turned the election for President into a decision that is conducted by a group of people that would fit comfortably in a high school cafeteria.