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texasfiddler

(2,199 posts)

6. We questioned our 2016 Candidate.

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Sun Jun 30, 2024, 11:50 PM

Jun 2024

Not sure that changing the 2016 candidate would have mattered. Bottom line, when the party doesn’t fully support and accept its candidate, the party loses. Those that want to abandon Biden are promoting this catastrophe. Hillary walks through the woods of New York just fine right now, however, she tripped and stumbled looking sick in 2016. I’m so tired of this. We are our worst enemy

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About "experts" who've correctly predicted many presidential races [View all] Silent3 Jun 2024 OP

You misunderstand odds and Lichtman. Fiendish Thingy Jun 2024 #1

thanks elleng Jun 2024 #2

I'm not misunderstanding Lichtman, nor *necessarily* saying his system is flawed Silent3 Jun 2024 #4

And I challenged you to find Lichtman's peers with equal records Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #9

I just found one example when responding to another poster Silent3 Jul 2024 #11

But those aren't the same students every year, just the same school. Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #12

Yes, but it demonstrates you don't need to have a "system" or expertise... Silent3 Jul 2024 #13

As far "surely there must thousands of coin flippers with great prediction records"... wow, way to misunderstand... Silent3 Jul 2024 #10

It's not quite that simple Metaphorical Jun 2024 #3

Everything you've said is true... Silent3 Jun 2024 #5

We questioned our 2016 Candidate. texasfiddler Jun 2024 #6

What does that have to do with how prediction "expertise" can be illusionary? Silent3 Jun 2024 #7

I was going to discuss Lichtman texasfiddler Jun 2024 #8