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Bucky

(55,334 posts)
50. And he's dead right about that.
Mon Jul 22, 2024, 06:24 PM
Jul 2024

Youre right about independents being key. But the surest path to a blue win is if we get YouTube and first time voters back in the mix. That's how we've win in the past: Clinton in…'92, Obama in '08, both appealed to youth voters, both were under 50 and threw the word Hope around liberally.

Trump is rather stupidly running as an incumbent. His message is mostly about the past and getting even. People perpetually want a break from the toxic flavor Republicans always generate in politics, so I think Harris has the opening to reframe this election as building a better future.

I find this exciting. I think she is undefined enough to rebrand herself as a new politician. She's got cool stepmom vibes (which ironically, she actually is). Attacking her for dating around while she was single is gonna backfire harsh on the Republicans. They'd be basically attacking Mary Tyler Moore.

I think this is gonna be a good year for us. We just need our party leaders to handle it right.

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And? obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #1
It's still early and polling before she became the presumptive candidate is tough. WarGamer Jul 2024 #3
Yup, that was my point with the OP obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #12
I still think it's a 50/50 election... WarGamer Jul 2024 #14
And it means nothing, except MAYBE that it will be CLOSE election. People really need to stop handwringing over polls. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #20
Polling is all we've got and in this past it HAS been useful to judge trends and in the aggregate form... WarGamer Jul 2024 #21
It's primarily what drove Biden out Arazi Jul 2024 #24
I don't know why they're pulling Kornacki out so soon. She hasn't done any campaigning as nominee yet ecstatic Jul 2024 #2
So Kornacki's numbers are actually good news Bucky Jul 2024 #39
Karnacki is a hack getagrip_already Jul 2024 #4
Kornacki is good at his job. Bucky Jul 2024 #37
No, karnacki has always been a hack, but he is a hack that is good at his job getagrip_already Jul 2024 #41
I hear you, but I've done statistical analysis for a living Bucky Jul 2024 #46
Ive done it as well.... getagrip_already Jul 2024 #48
Actually Kornacki said it would take a few. weeks to see the impact. There JohnSJ Jul 2024 #49
And he's dead right about that. Bucky Jul 2024 #50
Agree...he's just repeating what his RW bosses tell him. Skew the #s any way you want, as long as they favor tsf! PortTack Jul 2024 #52
Anything that happened before Biden's announcement is mostly irrelevant now. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #5
I think this has changed the race in ways that are totally unpredictable crud Jul 2024 #9
Agree on both counts. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #13
That was then Mz Pip Jul 2024 #6
That's total BS. Sogo Jul 2024 #7
Horse race BS RANDYWILDMAN Jul 2024 #8
I think I saw the same thing. BigDemVoter Jul 2024 #10
Unsurprising. maxsolomon Jul 2024 #11
She's been running for President for one day. GoodRaisin Jul 2024 #15
Yes, but TRENDS please!! Zambero Jul 2024 #33
Should we give up? Kingofalldems Jul 2024 #16
A Hypothetical candidate polling is not valid. She is now a candidate. At a JohnSJ Jul 2024 #17
Hopefully. Candidates often are more moonscape Jul 2024 #23
When the media has absolutely nothing to go by Zambero Jul 2024 #34
Tankhaki stays on-script. Kid Berwyn Jul 2024 #18
Said it when Joe was running, am saying it again. Polls mean nothing, and it will be CLOSE no matter what. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #19
It takes at least a week for polls to react to singular events...nt Wounded Bear Jul 2024 #22
It was all hypothetical so while Biden was the nominee people aren't really going to answer and different when Takket Jul 2024 #25
The energy coming out of our Dem Convention oasis Jul 2024 #26
A Big Blue Wave is coming! FSogol Jul 2024 #30
Only the battleground polls matter - the electoral votes. kerry-is-my-prez Jul 2024 #27
Those polls are old angrychair Jul 2024 #28
wait until AFTER the Democratic convention lapfog_1 Jul 2024 #29
Way too early Sympthsical Jul 2024 #31
That was what I saw Johonny Jul 2024 #32
Actually, not that it matters newdayneeded Jul 2024 #35
Even Kornacki admitted... lees1975 Jul 2024 #36
It's a little early to expect the Harris candidacy to impact polling... brooklynite Jul 2024 #38
And now the media begins its laser focus Bettie Jul 2024 #40
It's going to be close, so ... M_Demo_M Jul 2024 #42
If she's starting tied, then with all the ads, she'll climb above lindysalsagal Jul 2024 #43
Captain Khaki Pants can fuck right off. GaYellowDawg Jul 2024 #44
Karnacki is an entertainer, not a serious analyst getagrip_already Jul 2024 #45
The swing states will soon love Kamala! ViewObsessed Jul 2024 #47
Kornacki is a plague bucolic_frolic Jul 2024 #51
I'm predicting a poll bounce in next week or two that will put her 5-10% ahead of Trump. Doodley Jul 2024 #53
Yes. I poked my head out a few times to look at the polls CentralMass Jul 2024 #54
Screw Kornacki, closet rethug that he is. There can't be any poll reflecting... brush Jul 2024 #55
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