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wordstroken

(1,402 posts)

17. In this video, Lichtman goes through his prediction model and explains why he thinks Kamala is likely to win.

Reply to obamanut2012 (Reply #11)

Mon Jul 29, 2024, 11:00 AM

Jul 2024

He does say that it’s not his final prediction.

Please bear with me. I’m still new at this. If the YouTube video didn’t come through correctly, please help me learn to do it right.

Thanks.
wordstroken

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Highlight:

Allan Lichtman, creator of 13 Keys to White House, makes election prediction update [View all] wordstroken Jul 2024 OP

So what is it? How about a summary? Ocelot II Jul 2024 #1

Did this YouTube video come through okay? wordstroken Jul 2024 #7

We are not clicking links like this -- summarize obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #11

In this video, Lichtman goes through his prediction model and explains why he thinks Kamala is likely to win. wordstroken Jul 2024 #17

You are learning and welcome! A lot of us bemoan the replacement of "discussion" with videos sans any summary... hlthe2b Jul 2024 #28

I'm one of those that don't want to watch videos on my phone. LiberalFighter Jul 2024 #31

I'm with you. My preference too. I am a very fast reader. Videos are an unnecessary waste of time to convey hlthe2b Jul 2024 #32

Too much rambling or repeating with those type of videos LiberalFighter Jul 2024 #38

It's a fourteen minute video canetoad Jul 2024 #47

Thank you so much for taking the time to explain, hlthe2b. wordstroken Jul 2024 #33

Either (or on an important issue like this, both) would be fine. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #34

Thanks. wordstroken Jul 2024 #35

Thanks, wordstroken. femmedem Jul 2024 #29

Thank you, femmedem. wordstroken Jul 2024 #30

Thanks for the summary Bettie Jul 2024 #36

Thanks, Bettie. wordstroken Jul 2024 #37

Thanks. carpetbagger Jul 2024 #48

Several keys not locked in (social unrest, moonscape Jul 2024 #16

And? I'm not clicking on some link obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #2

Absolutely love Lichtman SocialDemocrat61 Jul 2024 #3

He is a true blue Democrat but he appears to be wrong about this, gab13by13 Jul 2024 #8

Yes SocialDemocrat61 Jul 2024 #10

good answer... nt DoBW Jul 2024 #14

It would have only "killed Dem chances" if Biden had both been driven out and a contested nomination race occurred. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #19

He really hasn't changed his stance as he gives the incumbency key to Republicans. However, he gives the OnDoutside Jul 2024 #39

Yeah... This one is relatively short and gives a really concise overview compared to his others... hlthe2b Jul 2024 #18

I don't click on stuff either gab13by13 Jul 2024 #4

I hear you. wordstroken Jul 2024 #23

I click on stuff, it's just a youtube but always good to post a summary. CoopersDad Jul 2024 #50

Thanks , I will. wordstroken Jul 2024 #54

Summarize the video Jerry2144 Jul 2024 #5

I have done so in two of my thread responses. Just read the thread. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #20

See post #17. wordstroken Jul 2024 #24

Please don't be lazy and post click bait. Post a summary. NewHendoLib Jul 2024 #6

Post what you think is right, within the guide lines DoBW Jul 2024 #15

See post #17. wordstroken Jul 2024 #25

Hey, even with "please," that's unneccessary and unwelcoming to a DU member femmedem Jul 2024 #27

Thank you femmedem Chasing Dreams Jul 2024 #40

You're welcome. After reading blurplenurple's final post about a week ago femmedem Jul 2024 #42

Agree 100% CommonHumanity Jul 2024 #44

USA Today says yes. Spells out the keys. usonian Jul 2024 #9

ok i clicked et tu Jul 2024 #12

Lichtman predicts Harris will win sarchasm Jul 2024 #13

Whoah. Not exactly. That is for the time being & four keys are fluid. FINAL assessment AFTER the convention. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #21

Yes, sorry, he did say he hasn't made a prediction, but that a lot would have to go wrong for Harris to lose. sarchasm Jul 2024 #49

Wow.. doesn't take a genius to come up with that prediction. honest.abe Jul 2024 #22

Interesting commentary, but does take several minutes to watch - TBF Jul 2024 #26

See post #9 usonian Jul 2024 #41

So, to sum up: Wednesdays Jul 2024 #43

No. Last prediction Biden held 9 of the 13 keys and would need to lose two to lose ColinC Jul 2024 #51

Thanks for posting the update. ClimateHawk Jul 2024 #45

IKR? I think that's fairly new. wordstroken Jul 2024 #46

It's adorable lol ColinC Jul 2024 #52

Not that recent ClimateHawk Jul 2024 #55

A breakdown, as per the USA Today article linked above Zoomie1986 Jul 2024 #53