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honest.abe

(9,238 posts)

22. Wow.. doesn't take a genius to come up with that prediction.

Mon Jul 29, 2024, 11:13 AM

Jul 2024

About a week ago he said Dems were basically crazy to push Joe out. Then he said Joe should resign immediately. Sorry but I’m not impressed.

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Allan Lichtman, creator of 13 Keys to White House, makes election prediction update [View all] wordstroken Jul 2024 OP

So what is it? How about a summary? Ocelot II Jul 2024 #1

Did this YouTube video come through okay? wordstroken Jul 2024 #7

We are not clicking links like this -- summarize obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #11

In this video, Lichtman goes through his prediction model and explains why he thinks Kamala is likely to win. wordstroken Jul 2024 #17

You are learning and welcome! A lot of us bemoan the replacement of "discussion" with videos sans any summary... hlthe2b Jul 2024 #28

I'm one of those that don't want to watch videos on my phone. LiberalFighter Jul 2024 #31

I'm with you. My preference too. I am a very fast reader. Videos are an unnecessary waste of time to convey hlthe2b Jul 2024 #32

Too much rambling or repeating with those type of videos LiberalFighter Jul 2024 #38

It's a fourteen minute video canetoad Jul 2024 #47

Thank you so much for taking the time to explain, hlthe2b. wordstroken Jul 2024 #33

Either (or on an important issue like this, both) would be fine. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #34

Thanks. wordstroken Jul 2024 #35

Thanks, wordstroken. femmedem Jul 2024 #29

Thank you, femmedem. wordstroken Jul 2024 #30

Thanks for the summary Bettie Jul 2024 #36

Thanks, Bettie. wordstroken Jul 2024 #37

Thanks. carpetbagger Jul 2024 #48

Several keys not locked in (social unrest, moonscape Jul 2024 #16

And? I'm not clicking on some link obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #2

Absolutely love Lichtman SocialDemocrat61 Jul 2024 #3

He is a true blue Democrat but he appears to be wrong about this, gab13by13 Jul 2024 #8

Yes SocialDemocrat61 Jul 2024 #10

good answer... nt DoBW Jul 2024 #14

It would have only "killed Dem chances" if Biden had both been driven out and a contested nomination race occurred. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #19

He really hasn't changed his stance as he gives the incumbency key to Republicans. However, he gives the OnDoutside Jul 2024 #39

Yeah... This one is relatively short and gives a really concise overview compared to his others... hlthe2b Jul 2024 #18

I don't click on stuff either gab13by13 Jul 2024 #4

I hear you. wordstroken Jul 2024 #23

I click on stuff, it's just a youtube but always good to post a summary. CoopersDad Jul 2024 #50

Thanks , I will. wordstroken Jul 2024 #54

Summarize the video Jerry2144 Jul 2024 #5

I have done so in two of my thread responses. Just read the thread. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #20

See post #17. wordstroken Jul 2024 #24

Please don't be lazy and post click bait. Post a summary. NewHendoLib Jul 2024 #6

Post what you think is right, within the guide lines DoBW Jul 2024 #15

See post #17. wordstroken Jul 2024 #25

Hey, even with "please," that's unneccessary and unwelcoming to a DU member femmedem Jul 2024 #27

Thank you femmedem Chasing Dreams Jul 2024 #40

You're welcome. After reading blurplenurple's final post about a week ago femmedem Jul 2024 #42

Agree 100% CommonHumanity Jul 2024 #44

USA Today says yes. Spells out the keys. usonian Jul 2024 #9

ok i clicked et tu Jul 2024 #12

Lichtman predicts Harris will win sarchasm Jul 2024 #13

Whoah. Not exactly. That is for the time being & four keys are fluid. FINAL assessment AFTER the convention. hlthe2b Jul 2024 #21

Yes, sorry, he did say he hasn't made a prediction, but that a lot would have to go wrong for Harris to lose. sarchasm Jul 2024 #49

Wow.. doesn't take a genius to come up with that prediction. honest.abe Jul 2024 #22

Interesting commentary, but does take several minutes to watch - TBF Jul 2024 #26

See post #9 usonian Jul 2024 #41

So, to sum up: Wednesdays Jul 2024 #43

No. Last prediction Biden held 9 of the 13 keys and would need to lose two to lose ColinC Jul 2024 #51

Thanks for posting the update. ClimateHawk Jul 2024 #45

IKR? I think that's fairly new. wordstroken Jul 2024 #46

It's adorable lol ColinC Jul 2024 #52

Not that recent ClimateHawk Jul 2024 #55

A breakdown, as per the USA Today article linked above Zoomie1986 Jul 2024 #53