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RZM

(8,556 posts)
2. It's important to remember that Gingrich still has less support than Romney
Fri Jan 20, 2012, 06:14 PM
Jan 2012

He's not on top in the polls and didn't finish in the top three in either contest. I think people are getting a bit caught up in last night's debate moment. It's been all over the media because 1) It was a moment of high drama and tension, 2) It was about the media itself, so they are of course all over it

All of a sudden today everyone's talking about how Romney has fallen and Gingrich is on his way to the top (again). I'm usually not somebody who slams the MSM every chance I get, but these last 24 hours have been pretty ridiculous. It really does look like they are trying their best to shape the contest rather than just report on it.

The base has its problems with Romney, which are well known (flip-flopping, Romneycare, etc.). But judging from the polls and voting, they seem to have even more of a problem with Newt, whose problems are also well known (infidelity, being Newt Gingrich, etc.).

If Newt only squeaks by Romney, I'd say that's a defeat for him. To demonstrate his viability, he needs to dominate in a state like SC, which is to him kind of what NH was to Romney (next door, a better political climate for him, etc.). That may indeed happen, if undecideds break for him at the last second. But I wouldn't bet on it.

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