General Discussion

Pototan

(3,214 posts) Sun Sep 15, 2024, 08:35 AM Sep 2024

CNN reporting an ABC News Poll: Harris up by 6 Points [View all]

I think it's with likely voters. However, I can't find an online link. The report says that the 6-point Harris lead is 52% to 46%. The post-debate poll has the same spread as their pre-debate poll.

Some think that's bad news, I think it's good news. If Kamala can shore up a 6-point national popular vote win, I'll take my chances in the swing states.

Please don't reply that we have to work and get out the vote. There's no one on this site that doesn't know that. Almost all of us lived through 2016. No poll will make us less enthusiastic or have any degree of complacency.

On edit, here's the link. One comment. How the fuck can anyone interpret a 6-point lead as "slight"?

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-debate-winner-maintaining-slight-lead-trump-poll/story?id=113673862

58 replies

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Highlight:

CNN reporting an ABC News Poll: Harris up by 6 Points [View all] Pototan Sep 2024 OP

god do I hate those 'reminders' bigtree Sep 2024 #1

I think it might be a "good luck" thing. SleeplessinSoCal Sep 2024 #38

Also: Sky Jewels Sep 2024 #41

It is good news because Kamala's lead was narrowing before the debate. Doodley Sep 2024 #2

I agree kansasobama Sep 2024 #5

With shithole, his comrades and his cult........................ Lovie777 Sep 2024 #3

Here is the link kansasobama Sep 2024 #4

what's the margin of error? returnee Sep 2024 #6

+/-2% MOE Fiendish Thingy Sep 2024 #11

I found this study of polls to be interesting Farmer-Rick Sep 2024 #21

Misinterpretation of Confidence Intervals BlueInID Sep 2024 #28

Yeah, I know Farmer-Rick Sep 2024 #55

It's only a "slight" lead because we are Democrats. 6pts for an R is a nuclear lead. Maru Kitteh Sep 2024 #7

yay America BoRaGard Sep 2024 #8

Odd that the 2% MOE is unchanged between Adults/RVs/LVs Fiendish Thingy Sep 2024 #9

Most polls shift to "likely" voters after Labor Day, so probably...nt Wounded Bear Sep 2024 #10

This is Excellent News if it's Based on "Likely Voters" Indykatie Sep 2024 #12

MSM will focus on the least favorable poll kansasobama Sep 2024 #13

Aha, just as I expected kansasobama Sep 2024 #22

Is there a link to polls in the key battleground states? Martin Eden Sep 2024 #14

Hillary won the PV by 2.3% and lost the ECV Pototan Sep 2024 #17

I guess I don't hold our "founding fathers" in such high regard as many people. groundloop Sep 2024 #30

In the late 18th century, it was necessary for actual Electors to convene. Martin Eden Sep 2024 #35

I was discussing that with a person this morning Pototan Sep 2024 #40

It's amazing to me that someone who tried to Emile Sep 2024 #15

My guess is, he's not. I don't trust the pollsters, nor their methods. mucholderthandirt Sep 2024 #16

total agreement et tu Sep 2024 #18

Inside the cult, Trump is Jesus Johonny Sep 2024 #32

The polls are definitely trending in the right direction Buckeyeblue Sep 2024 #19

Speculators on predictit.org disagree William Seger Sep 2024 #20

? What does your chart say? Emile Sep 2024 #24

Those are "yes" share prices, Harris on top, currently $0.57 to $0.47 William Seger Sep 2024 #34

I was probably too brief William Seger Sep 2024 #50

RCP odds before ABC poll Pototan Sep 2024 #25

Six point lead for Trump, the MSM, would call insurmountable. We know who they are in the tank for AZLD4Candidate Sep 2024 #23

Well, to be fair Pototan Sep 2024 #29

I think Kamala's poll numbers will keep going up ... ificandream Sep 2024 #26

That is my take also, that Kamala's numbers won't go backwards crud Sep 2024 #27

"I'll take my chances in the swing states" - TBF Sep 2024 #31

This has nothing to do with the popular vote *determining* the presidency, but it does *strongly correlate* RidinWithHarris Sep 2024 #42

Correlation does not imply causation. nt TBF Sep 2024 #43

And? RidinWithHarris Sep 2024 #44

You posted your argument relying on correlation - TBF Sep 2024 #45

If the subject is polling, the subject is automatically correlation, not causation RidinWithHarris Sep 2024 #47

Talk about games TBF Sep 2024 #48

Thanks... RidinWithHarris Sep 2024 #49

no problem, TBF Sep 2024 #58

6% means she would win rhe EC obamanut2012 Sep 2024 #51

It's a mistake to overestimate what people know (or ought to know.) Oopsie Daisy Sep 2024 #33

And remember this poll is from a compromised rightwing msm. ananda Sep 2024 #36

If you're a Democrat, specifically the Democratic candidate for president . . . peggysue2 Sep 2024 #37

Listen we DO have work to do but edisdead Sep 2024 #39

In sure CNN couched it angrychair Sep 2024 #46

Time for another Trump distraction C_U_L8R Sep 2024 #52

As many of these reliable polls as there are .. VMA131Marine Sep 2024 #53

"...racism is a major factor but for so many???" J_William_Ryan Sep 2024 #54

This polling makes me smile LetMyPeopleVote Sep 2024 #56

That's very good considering the margin of error is only 2% iemanja Sep 2024 #57