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Wiz Imp

(8,737 posts)
5. If the crosstabs are not to be trusted then the top line is not to be trusted either
Wed Sep 25, 2024, 07:02 PM
Sep 2024

If the crosstabs show they are underestimating Harris support from younger voters, then that means the top line is likely underestimating Harris support overall. There are plenty of other reasons to question this poll including their PA and Michigan polls from a few days ago showing 6 & 5 point leads. If Harris is leading by that much in those 2 states then there is no way she is trailing nationally. (And before you say it - I know they are different polls with different samples - but the fact that different polls from the same pollster show incompatible results within a couple days causes me to question the reliability of that pollster's latest poll(s).

And other polls do not really show the race tightening. Most pollsters show a bigger lead for Harris in their latest poll than they did in their previous poll. That includes Quinnipiac and the NY Times.

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