General Discussion

OnDoutside

(20,866 posts)

5. I'm trying to remain logical and stay with the facts

Reply to RecoveringJournalist (Original post)

Thu Oct 10, 2024, 10:54 AM

Oct 2024

Lots of voters who popped their immortal coil since 2020 were republican

Lots of new voters now, are young.

500,000 voters registered in the 48 hours after Taylor Swift endorsed Harris.

Millions of previously dem voters were energised by Biden withdrawing and Harris becoming the nominee.

Trump has been more of a nut case since she became the nominee.

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Shifting Polls [View all] RecoveringJournalist Oct 2024 OP

They are basing this on one poll which is nonsense because JohnSJ Oct 2024 #1

I don't think this is the true picture. Nor is it about a single poll. stopdiggin Oct 2024 #6

It is 100% based on one poll with sketchy methodology obamanut2012 Oct 2024 #8

The OP is fairly clear in NOT referencing a single poll stopdiggin Oct 2024 #12

Not one poll RecoveringJournalist Oct 2024 #19

That is effectively what will determine the election. The popular vote is meaningless. JohnSJ Oct 2024 #11

The race has been remarkably static Johnny2X2X Oct 2024 #2

Yes. GOTV is all. pat_k Oct 2024 #52

The corporate media always pushes a horse race narrative. Patton French Oct 2024 #3

you're correct stopdiggin Oct 2024 #4

they aren't credible RJ_MacReady Oct 2024 #10

This here ScratchCat Oct 2024 #36

I could see some people RJ_MacReady Oct 2024 #39

It's NOT "just the way it is" Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #17

amen....they're flooding the landscape with bogus polls democratsruletheday Oct 2024 #18

It turned out Zeitghost Oct 2024 #48

I mean the average has her up mid 3s qazplm135 Oct 2024 #22

538 has Harris +2.6% and RCP has Harris +2.0 and 270towin has Harris +2.7% WarGamer Oct 2024 #24

I'm trying to remain logical and stay with the facts OnDoutside Oct 2024 #5

Wow! You have incredible self restraint obamanut2012 Oct 2024 #7

This is only my 284th post in 16 years TeslaNova Oct 2024 #16

Not as hard as you think RecoveringJournalist Oct 2024 #20

Trump has some "good" commercials Prairie Gates Oct 2024 #9

Not being in a swing state, I haven't seen many of them. But, those I've heard are evil. PeaceWave Oct 2024 #27

I Live In PA RobinA Oct 2024 #40

Every week somebody drags in a horrible poll. GreenWave Oct 2024 #13

My take is this: ColinC Oct 2024 #14

I disagree...polling errors will favor Republicans, just like in 2022 and recent special elections. tableturner Oct 2024 #45

Polling errors favored Dems in 2022 for statewide polls ColinC Oct 2024 #47

We are I think actually saying the same thing...see below... tableturner Oct 2024 #50

Oh right 100% ColinC Oct 2024 #57

In fact here is what would happen if the 2022 average senate polling error was transferred into swing states for Prez ColinC Oct 2024 #49

What is happening is Red Wave pollsters are manipulating the averages. Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #15

While that is a factor, it's more than that Amishman Oct 2024 #38

The Quinnipiac and Emerson polls have far less impact on averages than the dozens of other shitty polls Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #42

They do need to start hitting back with tougher ads Thrill Oct 2024 #21

I am leery of methods, biases and sample sizes in polls. The only poll that counts is in November. dameatball Oct 2024 #23

I've watched this Two Way (Mark Halperin zoom) sky_masterson Oct 2024 #25

Mark Halperin is a wingnut and Cenk is not a liberal obamanut2012 Oct 2024 #29

I always want to know what the other side is thinking/doing. sky_masterson Oct 2024 #31

I watch Mark and then it was easy kansasobama Oct 2024 #34

He is very dishonest in his coverage sky_masterson Oct 2024 #41

Trump is always attacking while Harris is mostly defending. clutterbox1830 Oct 2024 #26

Scared Dee0909 Oct 2024 #28

Your concern is noted obamanut2012 Oct 2024 #30

These are deliberate winger polls meant to sow mistrust. Setup for the challenges to come. lindysalsagal Oct 2024 #32

Shifiting polls sells ads. -misanthroptimist Oct 2024 #33

Shifting polls sells ads -misanthroptimist Oct 2024 #35

I follow Christopher Bouzy on twitter crimycarny Oct 2024 #37

IEM market today: Harris 86-14 Newfrontier0101 Oct 2024 #43

Not sure how polls work anymore SomedayKindaLove Oct 2024 #44

The billionaire criminal class is going to sell us out to authoritarianism so they can become trillionaires. Initech Oct 2024 #46

IT IS ONE POLL!! LETS WORK HARD FOR HARRIS/WALZ!! OrlandoDem2 Oct 2024 #51

The purpose of the OP so obvious ThreeNoSeep Oct 2024 #53

Another Thought RecoveringJournalist Oct 2024 #58

Tomarrow they will have a poll that shows Harris ahead, gotta keep it doc03 Oct 2024 #54

one poll scared me then i read it was for a very specific samnsara Oct 2024 #55

Here we go again, someone comes up w/ a shifting polls narrative. And tries to make hay w/ it. And after the SWBTATTReg Oct 2024 #56