Whoever becomes President may have to deal with the loss of up to 45 million jobs in their term from AI

[Metaphorical]

5. I'm not sure it will come to that

I report on the tech sector regularly, and what I'm seeing is a growing consensus among both technical and business leaders that they will likely not be adopting *current* AI technologies to any significant degree. The tech is still fairly immature, many of the doomsday scenarios that I've seen predicted about replacing coders and creatives are simply not happening, and a lot of companies are sitting on the sidelines because they are increasingly concerned about liability issues.

Moreover, I'm hearing anecdotally about companies that trimmed their payrolls dramatically both as a drawdown after the pandemic and pre-emptively in anticipation that AI would solve all their needs, who are now struggling because nothing is working anymore and they can't get the workers they need. Yes, AI will have some impact, but 45 million? No.