MASSIVE New Poll Shows Trump Getting Crushed By Blue Wall Bulwark Takes

[Deminpenn]

7. There is too much value being put on MOE

The theory of some posters is that Harris could be anywhere from 3 or 4 pts either up or down at any given time. We might expect some polls to show her at 52 or 53%, but none of them do. Conversely, we might expect some polls to show her at 45 or 46 %, but none of them show that either.

Trump might be expected to break 50% in some polls or bottom out around 44% in others. But that hasn't happened either.

And there have been a lot of polls.

What is true is that the race is remarkably stable with Harris around 50% and Trump around his ceiling of 46-47%.