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Johnny2X2X

(21,832 posts)
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:32 AM Nov 5

How confident are you this election day? [View all]

I think the last week was very good for Harris and bad for Trump, she has the momentum that candidates have right before they outperform the polls. There's a lot of data that shows well for her right now. Early voting was better for her than she needed and the data suggests a lot of Republicans are voting for her, maybe 10%.

I don't think this is a coin flip, I think she's clearly favored but it's not a sure thing.


227 votes, 4 passes | Time left: Unlimited
0-25%
16 (7%)
26-50%
20 (9%)
51-75%
46 (20%)
76-90%
72 (32%)
91-100%
73 (32%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
63 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
If turnout is high, I am confident Johonny Nov 5 #1
Early reports are turnout is sky high Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #2
Indeed, I have yet to hear of low or even moderate turnout ANYWHERE. Wednesdays Nov 5 #12
Early voting is a sign Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #14
The two last rallies said it all... FirstLight Nov 5 #3
Does have the feel like she has all the momentum Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #4
90% mvd Nov 5 #5
Very sure she'll win -misanthroptimist Nov 5 #6
Julmur julmur Nov 5 #7
100% H2O Man Nov 5 #8
Nice! Elessar Zappa Nov 5 #42
0-25? Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #9
Most of the mainstream news sites Diraven Nov 5 #27
Since when? Emile Nov 5 #31
Ok maybe I'm just looking at the wrong sites Diraven Nov 5 #33
The Daily Telegraph bias is politically conservative Emile Nov 5 #34
pessimistic Homoudont Nov 5 #44
I voted 51-75 but I'm closer to 75 than 51. Self Esteem Nov 5 #10
Kamala says we are going to win. Emile Nov 5 #11
I'm quite confident that Kamala will win but Cairycat Nov 5 #13
I have been in the bullish group this election season jfz9580m Nov 5 #15
For me, I started sensing 2008 a couple weeks ago Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #17
Thanks-interesting post jfz9580m Nov 5 #20
Coud be more like 2012 Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #26
Yeah - that does reek of desperation jfz9580m Nov 5 #28
Not getting hopes up K221 Nov 5 #30
Welcome to DU AZSkiffyGeek Nov 5 #32
Seriously? Who did you vote for? marble falls Nov 5 #40
Optimistic but terrified palustris Nov 5 #16
Hi fella! GreenEyedLefty Nov 5 #58
Trump MSG rally really hurt him I think crimycarny Nov 5 #18
I go back and forth between feeling good and worried Poiuyt Nov 5 #19
Trust Kamala, she is sure we're going to win. Emile Nov 5 #23
65% confident Polybius Nov 5 #21
Coin flip as far as I am concerned exboyfil Nov 5 #22
I am about 90% confident. NavyDem Nov 5 #24
26-50% missaj Nov 5 #25
I think she'll win the vote but it is what Trump does Jarqui Nov 5 #29
Nauseously optimistic. Bleacher Creature Nov 5 #35
My grandson who lives with us is voting for president for the first time. mommymarine2003 Nov 5 #36
My brain tells me we are going to win MaryMagdaline Nov 5 #37
85% Bullish but not claiming certainty. TheKentuckian Nov 5 #38
I expect shenanigans from the GOP Blue Full Moon Nov 5 #39
Probably about 75% but Elessar Zappa Nov 5 #41
The country I've known for 67 years can't be so broken as to elect one of the worst wiggs Nov 5 #43
25% confident. Managing to think about other things occasionally. maxsolomon Nov 5 #45
I'm not loving today. G_KIA Nov 5 #46
If you click 'Show Usernames' canetoad Nov 5 #47
You been keeping an eye on them too. Emile Nov 5 #49
Yep Emile canetoad Nov 5 #59
Thjank you for pointing this out Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #50
What a co-winky-dink! FSogol Nov 5 #54
We're right where we need to be or ahead of schedule Jason1961 Nov 5 #48
I think the closing rallies echoed the debate Johnny2X2X Nov 5 #51
You might be right Jason1961 Nov 5 #56
Confident enough Tweedy Nov 5 #52
Not very confident. J_William_Ryan Nov 5 #53
For those of you who haven't yet heard of PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 5 #55
Confident but... ravjav Nov 5 #57
Google: Kamala Harris Predicted to Win By Nearly Every Major Forecaster Emile Nov 5 #60
I was right at 25-50% exboyfil Nov 6 #61
This didn't age well. nt Javaman Nov 6 #62
No and I was one of the bullish ones jfz9580m Nov 6 #63
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