One phrase I have barely seen mentioned this week is COVID 19

[genxlib]

10. I don't disagree with you

In the absence of COVID, Trump probably would have won. Such is the nature of the incumbency. It usually takes a bad turn of events (economic or otherwise) to lose.

And the larger point there is that both times, incumbents lost. (with of course an * for treating Harris as an incumbent)

I think a better managed first year could have saved Trump during that first year.

I am not sure there was any saving to be had from years 2-3 because the good will was gone, the resistance was in full swing and the economic impacts hit hard. Whoever was President at that time was going to carry that burden. in my revisionist history, I was just wondering if it would have better in the larger scope of history if Trump had carried that albatross through a second term.