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5. How do you fairly grade the poll accuracy after the election then?

Sun Nov 10, 2024, 09:58 PM

Nov 2024

Again, splitting the undecided vote 50/50 and amending the predictions seems sketchy.

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So, the 538 polls only got it half right. [View all] Shermann Nov 2024 OP

You're forgetting undecided voters. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #1

Are you sure those predictions don't omit undecided voters? Shermann Nov 2024 #3

How do you fairly grade the poll accuracy after the election then? Shermann Nov 2024 #5

Assuming the 3% MOE applies, the poll averages were pretty spot-on. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #6

538 needs to hang it up. Have they gotten anything right lately? brush Nov 2024 #7

Well they were pretty much spot on with this election EdmondDantes_ Nov 2024 #10

Half right is right now? brush Nov 2024 #11

They were much closer than half right FBaggins Nov 2024 #13

The polls again underestimated Trump's support. iemanja Nov 2024 #12