So, the 538 polls only got it half right.

[Sympthsical]

9. We should wait for final results before wondering about national numbers/polls

California takes for-ev-er. As of this writing, there's still about 4 million votes laying around that have yet to be added to the final total. Considering Harris is winning them by about 20 points - with no reason to suspect that will change - we'll no doubt see some of that 3.6% shrink.

Mix in all the other states that are still counting, we don't yet know final percentages.

This is why I loathe the "Where are the 15 million votes?!" stuff that started right away as a springboard for a thousand conspiracy theories.

Some states count faster than others. Deadlines for mail-in votes vary. State laws have different windows for when all this stuff gets done.