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edhopper

(37,563 posts)
Wed Apr 30, 2025, 09:19 AM Apr 2025

The economic pain we are headed for, Recession and Inflation [View all]

The Economy shrunk this quarter. There are major shortages coming this month as the drop in imports at the ports hits, further shrinking the economy but causing prices to rise.
On top of that the Dollar is in trouble as other countries stop buying Treasuries (another outcome of Trump's trade policy). The Fed will have no choice but to raise rates to get buyers for Treasuries, which will slow the economy more.
But at the same time a weaker dollar, plus the cost of tariffs on goods, will be inflationary.
In plain English, we are Fucked.

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Treasury bill rates are separate from the fed rate Fiendish Thingy Apr 2025 #1
I worded that badly edhopper Apr 2025 #2
Remember how Paul Volcker ended stagflation in 1980? IronLionZion Apr 2025 #5
I remember moniss Apr 2025 #8
Trump promised to lower prices, but we're not going like how it's done. nt IronLionZion Apr 2025 #9
Yes indeed the prices weren't that affordable moniss Apr 2025 #10
Yes, I remember. I had one of those mortgages. Katinfl Apr 2025 #11
Decimated the housing industry questionseverything Apr 2025 #19
The hostage crisis and the failed rescue attempt and Bush sr secret deal trip had more to do with it. nt Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2025 #17
They can't raise rates on Treasuries. Those rates are determined by auction sales and open market sales. Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2025 #16
Rates on Tresuries will go up, the dollar will go down. edhopper Apr 2025 #18
Rates on Treasuries and the dollar are ** both down ** since his Inaugurination. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2025 #20
Might be worse than that. Looking at stagflation starting this summer... Wounded Bear Apr 2025 #3
Manchin and Simena really screwed us on that. edhopper Apr 2025 #4
A 700Billion$ 1st quarter deficit, I assume rising steadily, financed by Treasuries with increasing NoMoreRepugs Apr 2025 #6
All I have to say is Ray Bruns Apr 2025 #7
Inflation is rising already Johnny2X2X Apr 2025 #12
To be clear - we are likely already in the middle of a recession Wiz Imp Apr 2025 #13
All true. I would just note that Bluetus Apr 2025 #14
Which all of this COULD HAVE EASILY BEEN PREVENTED. Initech Apr 2025 #15
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