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progree

(12,945 posts)
69. Four high level Democratic officials - in their 2024 SS Trustees report projected a 2035 depletion date
Fri Jul 25, 2025, 04:38 PM
Jul 2025
https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2024/
https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TRSUM/2024/index.html

• The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund will be able to pay 100 percent of total scheduled benefits until 2033, unchanged from last year's report. At that time, the fund's reserves will become depleted and continuing program income will be sufficient to pay 79 percent of scheduled benefits.

• The Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund is projected to be able to pay 100 percent of total scheduled benefits through at least 2098, the last year of this report's projection period. Last year's report projected that the DI Trust Fund would be able to pay scheduled benefits through at least 2097, the last year of that report's projection period.

• If the OASI Trust Fund and the DI Trust Fund projections are combined, the resulting projected fund (designated OASDI) would be able to pay 100 percent of total scheduled benefits until 2035, one year later than reported last year. At that time, the projected fund's reserves will become depleted and continuing total fund income will be sufficient to pay 83 percent of scheduled benefits. (The two funds could not actually be combined unless there were a change in the law, but the combined projection of the two funds is frequently used to indicate the overall status of the Social Security program.)

. . .

the hypothetical OASDI asset reserves would be projected to become depleted in 2035 and 83 percent of scheduled Social Security benefits would be payable at that time, declining to 73 percent by 2098.
(all emphasis added)

The report is signed by four high Democratic officials. It is not some scraping from some Facebook page or Heritage Foundation or some Pete Peterson gang

Janet Yellen, Secretary of the Treasury, and Managing Trustee of the Trust Funds.
Xavier Becerra, Secretary of Health and Human Services, and Trustee.
Julie A. Su, Acting Secretary of Labor, and Trustee.
Martin O'Malley, Commissioner of Social Security, and Trustee.


Additional key quotes are at https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143369508#post9
which was posted 1/9/25 and covering the 2024 Social Security Trustees report -- the last one produced by Democratic trustees

So, it is not right-wing propaganda that the SS trust funds are projected to be depleted in the mid-2030's, resulting in an automatic benefits cut -- (unless Congress acts to change the law) and I don't know of any progressive website that disputes that.

The exact year of trust funds depletion can be disputed by a year of two or three as conditions change, but not the near-term end result. For example the so-called Social Security Fairness Act of 2025 will reduce the trust funds' longevity by about half a year, according to Kiplinger.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

That 50 billion and rural white American still won't help.................... Lovie777 Jul 2025 #1
We are all fucked Hornedfrog2000 Jul 2025 #8
I respect you for taking in your parents. markodochartaigh Jul 2025 #19
This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Jul 2025 #2
I remember when Obama tried to do something about looming SS deficits. He was bashed mercilessly by GOPers and Dems. Silent Type Jul 2025 #3
Republicans will not do anything with Social Security. Wiz Imp Jul 2025 #13
So, they'll do nothing and around 2033 SS will be cut by 20% automatically. Silent Type Jul 2025 #24
No way. Cooler heads will prevail. How could they not? nt babylonsister Jul 2025 #46
I'd like to agree but.... Bettie Jul 2025 #50
There are no cooler heads in the GOP. Irish_Dem Jul 2025 #58
Is this sarcasm? NickB79 Jul 2025 #66
I remember when Al Gore proposed markodochartaigh Jul 2025 #20
Like many things, Gore was right. Climate progress under his admin would have been a huge step forward. Alas... Evolve Dammit Jul 2025 #29
The supremacist court markodochartaigh Jul 2025 #43
And the people bussed down to disrupt the recount included Bolton and Stone. Evolve Dammit Jul 2025 #61
It isn't failure honor the US debt the Trust Fund holds that is the problem exboyfil Jul 2025 #60
I remember Al Gore in 2000 trying to protect social security mdbl Jul 2025 #64
They need to just lift the cap n/t SickOfTheOnePct Jul 2025 #4
So simple Rebl2 Jul 2025 #6
The corporate lobby against raising the cap is probably fierce. Lonestarblue Jul 2025 #14
I thought Rebl2 Jul 2025 #16
I think state employees like teachers and police do not pay SS because they have state pensions. Lonestarblue Jul 2025 #17
Correct Rebl2 Jul 2025 #18
Most teachers do pay SS taxes except in 15 states where they are exempt wishstar Jul 2025 #32
But if they ever worked any other jobs with FICA deductions , they will get benefits. Pres Joe Biden signed the Social ancianita Jul 2025 #21
Federal employees Ananda62 Jul 2025 #22
Was a Fed from 1970 to 1985 and then did not pay in to SS. PufPuf23 Jul 2025 #56
Some do Some Do Not TBA Jul 2025 #62
No chance, other than a small increase. If we can increase taxes by 12 percentage points by removing cap, we need Silent Type Jul 2025 #25
Sorry, but if they lift the cap on Social Security taxes... SickOfTheOnePct Jul 2025 #35
Well, yeah, if they do. Point is if Congress can increase taxes by 12 points, it needs to go to many things. SS is not Silent Type Jul 2025 #42
Well, they wouldn't be increasing it by 12 points on everyone SickOfTheOnePct Jul 2025 #45
A Second Thing To Do ProfessorGAC Jul 2025 #26
I think the outlays would have to go up some... SickOfTheOnePct Jul 2025 #37
No, they just need to cut benefits for mothers, raise retirement ages, and shift money to private accounts lostnfound Jul 2025 #36
Maybe my calculations are off... SickOfTheOnePct Jul 2025 #39
The criteria to achieve maximum benefits lostnfound Jul 2025 #49
That's not what it said at the link but ok n/t SickOfTheOnePct Jul 2025 #52
Great... Mr.Bee Jul 2025 #5
Well, I guess I'll just have to live it up until I run out of money. The Madcap Jul 2025 #7
More tax breaks for the rich! Kid Berwyn Jul 2025 #9
And it would happen because of the massive growth in income inequality not fooled Jul 2025 #10
After 22 years on SS at140 Jul 2025 #11
Agreed!!! Stargazer99 Jul 2025 #41
I've already had to go back to work part time when Biden was in office Kaleva Jul 2025 #12
"Ha ha. Senior Suckers. Ha ha!" - G.O.P. BoRaGard Jul 2025 #15
Republicans will rightfully get crucified at the polls I hope and maybe in real-life as well. cstanleytech Jul 2025 #23
Hope you are right, because we will literally need to have a blue trifecta in 2028 GoodRaisin Jul 2025 #53
Take with a grain or two of salt - the cited analysis is from CPRFB, Ocelot II Jul 2025 #27
Thanks. applegrove Jul 2025 #28
Yep... Smokster Jul 2025 #44
Four high level Democratic officials - in their 2024 SS Trustees report projected a 2035 depletion date progree Jul 2025 #69
...Not going to happen, in my view. whathehell Jul 2025 #30
Some day, when I am long dead, we'll learn the Trump presidency was illegitimate...and, thus, so was this bill. Joinfortmill Jul 2025 #31
My H worked for the State of NY. He paid into SS and receives a pension. Ditto for my mother who was a teacher Raftergirl Jul 2025 #33
Of course. Fascists have no use for seniors or retirement. All they want is for people to drop dead so they can penny Karasu Jul 2025 #34
And why do retirees so stupidly vote R, year after year? FakeNoose Jul 2025 #38
Turkeys voting for Thanksgiving dinner. Irish_Dem Jul 2025 #59
Because they don't believe THEIR benefits will ever be cut. Mariana Jul 2025 #70
Anything that draws down the Trust Fund more quickly does the same thing. Igel Jul 2025 #40
1+ Norrrm Jul 2025 #47
Bullshit. valleyrogue Jul 2025 #48
Thank you! Shines a different light on this -eom vanessa_ca Jul 2025 #63
Are there no prisons? DBoon Jul 2025 #51
GOP: "so what, they're just going to die anyway" Jack Valentino Jul 2025 #54
Gen X is smallest cohort so we will get screwed IbogaProject Jul 2025 #55
Take it from the goddamned billionaires any way we can. Give nothing back, by G-d. rickyhall Jul 2025 #57
They need to lift the cap. patphil Jul 2025 #65
CFRB wants cuts to SS and other entitlement programs pbmus Jul 2025 #67
I'm sorry, but I don't believe any "non partisan" organization whathehell Jul 2025 #73
You think people need to vote.....................after there parents come to live with them.............. turbinetree Jul 2025 #68
And you turn your livingroom into their bedroom applegrove Jul 2025 #72
Hey fuckheads. Stop yelling woe is me and come up with a plan. twodogsbarking Jul 2025 #71
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