Probably nothing to get excited about.
If you want to understand public opinion where it matters, here is a link to something worth a look.
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The Dem Brand in Key Counties
We spent three weeks talking to voters in 21 key counties in 10 states that have been Presidential battlegrounds over the last four cycles to listen to what they think of Democrats.
Steve Schale
Jul 21, 2025
Why did we spend three weeks listening to voters in 21 counties in battleground states?
We need a clearer path - not just for 2026, but for 2032.
Of all the things keeping me up at night, the national demographic changes that will significantly change the national political map in 2032 are at the top.
Projections of a 12-15 seat shift from blue and “blue wall” states to a series of southern states that Trump won in 2024 has the potential to radically change the landscape. Not only will winning the White House require winning states like NC, GA, and AZ on a more regular basis, the pathway to majorities in Congress will require winning seats with GOP majorities drawing the Congressional lines.
Moreover, any chance we have of winning a majority in the US Senate will require us to do something we have not done since 2018: Win a Senate seat in a state that Joe Biden lost in 2020.
Expanding our coalition of a party isn’t just a nice talking point - it is a mathematical requirement for survival, and understanding how we navigate this challenge over the next few years is key to being prepared for it.
Over the last month, Unite the Country, working with Elizabeth Sena from GQR Research, has been surveying voters in twenty-one counties spread across the ten states that have been considered battleground states during all or some of the last four Presidential elections.
Most of the counties we chose are places that have gone a bit sideways for Democrats over the last four cycles, however, they are not monolithic. For example, the sample includes traditional base counties like Wayne County, Michigan and Cuyahoga County, Ohio, along with swing counties, like Bucks County, PA, and Hillsborough County, FL. We also included a number of fast-growing red counties that are only getting redder, places like Pinal County, AZ, and Cherokee County, GA.
https://substack.com/inbox/post/168858211
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