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Fiendish Thingy

(23,200 posts)

9. One guy switching parties is not exactly a flood of rats leaving a sinking ship

Sun Oct 19, 2025, 11:20 AM

Oct 2025

I don’t expect any republicans to switch to become Democrats, no matter how low Trump gets in the polls - do you?

Worst case scenario is Collins and Murkowski become independents, but still caucus with the GOP.

I think there is a greater chance of Fetterman becoming an independent, and Golden switching to the Republican Party, both after the midterms.

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BeerBarrelPolka Polybius

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Are the polls for real? [View all] kentuck Oct 2025 OP

Bush got down to the mid 20's in his second term Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #1

You don't remember the most lopsided election year in favor of Democrats (2008) in decades? W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #6

The OP was speaking about *elected* Republicans abandoning Trump Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #7

Arlen Specter? W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #8

One guy switching parties is not exactly a flood of rats leaving a sinking ship Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #9

Robert Garcia? Gil Cisneros? Stacey Plaskett? W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #10

Grasping at straws looks kind of desperate Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #11

Yet Bill Clinton's victory in 1996 was more lopsided Polybius Oct 2025 #13

"Election year" being the key term. Republicans won the Senate/House in 1996. They lost them significantly in 2008. W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #16

Can't argue with that Polybius Oct 2025 #18

You can't compare head-to-head elections to elections where there was a third Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #19

But Perot took more votes away from Clinton than from Dole (or Poppy Bush for that matter) Polybius Oct 2025 #20

There is no evidence that Perot took more votes from Clinton than Dole or Bush. Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #23

If they drew from Perot equally, It would be almost a tie to Obama's 2008 Polybius Oct 2025 #35

My favorite still has to be Obama. He and Michelle were and continue to be my most wonderful political President & First CTyankee Oct 2025 #25

Maybe that didn't make news in CANADA. BannonsLiver Oct 2025 #14

Sure hope so! calimary Oct 2025 #2

If elections were fair, Republicans would be worried, but they're cooking the books in their favor, so they don't care. dem4decades Oct 2025 #3

110% true. Tsf math chicoescuela Oct 2025 #5

Right. That's why they currently control 350 seats in the House and 70 Senate seats. Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #24

Get back to me after the next "election" dem4decades Oct 2025 #36

Epstein Files could be the tipping point Martin Eden Oct 2025 #4

The Repugs are gonna wake up one day and say "He did What?!" crud Oct 2025 #12

His numbers are similar to what they've been for going on 5 years now. WarGamer Oct 2025 #15

A good chance to clean the red out in all States. pwb Oct 2025 #17

Every time we get one... lame54 Oct 2025 #21

A year before the 2006 midterm elections, looking at October 21, 2005 Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #22

We don't want Trump to poll any lower than 37-40% bucolic_frolic Oct 2025 #26

The media is sane washing Trump bob4460 Oct 2025 #27

"In my opinion, if he hits 35% in the polls, then it will be panic city for the Republicans." J_William_Ryan Oct 2025 #28

Sadly; this is nothing they can't fix with an expensive barrage of propaganda. unblock Oct 2025 #29

... or manipulation of the vote on Election Day... WestMichRad Oct 2025 #34

"Do you approve of the job he is doing" markodochartaigh Oct 2025 #30

It's the Republican support they care about unfortunately it's still pretty high. 77_80% FloridaBlues Oct 2025 #31

I think any Republican who won by less than 10% or even 15%, is getting very, very nervous. pat_k Oct 2025 #32

Your forgetting the one factor that keeps republicans in power Bluestocking Oct 2025 #33