Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

In reply to the discussion: Are the polls for real? [View all]

Wiz Imp

(10,033 posts)
23. There is no evidence that Perot took more votes from Clinton than Dole or Bush.
Sun Oct 19, 2025, 04:07 PM
Oct 2025

Exit polls in 1992 showed Perot drew voters from Bush and Clinton equally. The fact that Republicans continued to hold the House of Representatives after the 1996 election and the Congressional vote was basically 50/50, would seem to contradict the idea that Perot voters would have voted overwhelmingly for Clinton. Anyway, it proves my point, we don't know what the results of a head-to-head election would have been. Speculation is just speculation and can't be used as proof of anything. For that reason, you can't compare the results of a 3 candidate election to a 2 candidate election.

Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Are the polls for real? [View all] kentuck Oct 2025 OP
Bush got down to the mid 20's in his second term Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #1
You don't remember the most lopsided election year in favor of Democrats (2008) in decades? W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #6
The OP was speaking about *elected* Republicans abandoning Trump Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #7
Arlen Specter? W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #8
One guy switching parties is not exactly a flood of rats leaving a sinking ship Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #9
Robert Garcia? Gil Cisneros? Stacey Plaskett? W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #10
Grasping at straws looks kind of desperate Fiendish Thingy Oct 2025 #11
Yet Bill Clinton's victory in 1996 was more lopsided Polybius Oct 2025 #13
"Election year" being the key term. Republicans won the Senate/House in 1996. They lost them significantly in 2008. W_HAMILTON Oct 2025 #16
Can't argue with that Polybius Oct 2025 #18
You can't compare head-to-head elections to elections where there was a third Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #19
But Perot took more votes away from Clinton than from Dole (or Poppy Bush for that matter) Polybius Oct 2025 #20
There is no evidence that Perot took more votes from Clinton than Dole or Bush. Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #23
If they drew from Perot equally, It would be almost a tie to Obama's 2008 Polybius Oct 2025 #35
My favorite still has to be Obama. He and Michelle were and continue to be my most wonderful political President & First CTyankee Oct 2025 #25
Maybe that didn't make news in CANADA. BannonsLiver Oct 2025 #14
Sure hope so! calimary Oct 2025 #2
If elections were fair, Republicans would be worried, but they're cooking the books in their favor, so they don't care. dem4decades Oct 2025 #3
110% true. Tsf math chicoescuela Oct 2025 #5
Right. That's why they currently control 350 seats in the House and 70 Senate seats. Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #24
Get back to me after the next "election" dem4decades Oct 2025 #36
Epstein Files could be the tipping point Martin Eden Oct 2025 #4
The Repugs are gonna wake up one day and say "He did What?!" crud Oct 2025 #12
His numbers are similar to what they've been for going on 5 years now. WarGamer Oct 2025 #15
A good chance to clean the red out in all States. pwb Oct 2025 #17
Every time we get one... lame54 Oct 2025 #21
A year before the 2006 midterm elections, looking at October 21, 2005 Wiz Imp Oct 2025 #22
We don't want Trump to poll any lower than 37-40% bucolic_frolic Oct 2025 #26
The media is sane washing Trump bob4460 Oct 2025 #27
"In my opinion, if he hits 35% in the polls, then it will be panic city for the Republicans." J_William_Ryan Oct 2025 #28
Sadly; this is nothing they can't fix with an expensive barrage of propaganda. unblock Oct 2025 #29
... or manipulation of the vote on Election Day... WestMichRad Oct 2025 #34
"Do you approve of the job he is doing" markodochartaigh Oct 2025 #30
It's the Republican support they care about unfortunately it's still pretty high. 77_80% FloridaBlues Oct 2025 #31
I think any Republican who won by less than 10% or even 15%, is getting very, very nervous. pat_k Oct 2025 #32
Your forgetting the one factor that keeps republicans in power Bluestocking Oct 2025 #33
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Are the polls for real?»Reply #23