It's complicated. Please read the link- vote to end shut down analysis. It's not a cut and dried foregone conclusion. [View all]
https://www.electoral-vote.com/
(More at the link)
You Got to Know When to Hold 'Em, Know When to Fold 'Em
When you're playing poker, and you're up a good bit, you have a decision to make. You can keep going, and hope that your good fortune and/or good play continue. Or you can call it a night, which means you won't be winning any more money, but you will also preserve the gains you've already made.
Late last night, the Senate had a "breakthrough" and managed to come up with a bill that can get 60 votes for cloture. That first procedural vote was already held, and succeeded 60-40. Here are the main provisions of the agreement:
Government funding, at current levels, through January 30.
Most federal workers (including 4,000 of them who were fired) will be able to return to their jobs and will be paid. Trump cannot fire anyone prior to January 30.
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Funding for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, the FDA, the Department of Agriculture through September of next year. SNAP is administered by the latter department, and so people who need the program would not be at risk of being cut off for the next 10 months.
Protections for the Government Accountability Office (GAO), which keeps an eye on presidents and how they spend the government's money.
The Senate will hold a vote on ACA subsidies at some point in November or December.
Of course, the bill must work its way through the remaining Senate votes, then it must be passed by the House, then it must be signed by Donald Trump. The first of those three things is very likely to happen. The other two, you never know.
Now, let's talk about the politics of the deal. Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) crossed the aisle, as he has done on all the other budget bills, to vote with the Democrats. So, we ended up with 52R + 7D + 1I for the bill and 38D + 1R + 1I against. Here is a list of the eight members of the Senate Democratic Caucus who voted for the deal, and why their votes are not surprising:
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