General Discussion

GJGCA

(295 posts) Sat Jan 3, 2026, 03:59 PM Jan 2026

AXIOS: Someone made a huge profit predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened [View all]

Traders on Polymarket appeared to anticipate Maduro's capture late Friday night, before President Trump announced it early Saturday morning.

The market for whether or not Maduro would be out of power climbed shortly before 10pm ET on Friday, after hovering in the low single digits for weeks, per the Wall Street Journal.

What appears to be a newly created account appeared to invest $30,000 Friday in Maduro's exit. After Maduro went into custody Saturday morning, that same investor netted $436,759.61.

https://www.axios.com/2026/01/03/maduro-capture-bets-trade-prediction-markets

13 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

AXIOS: Someone made a huge profit predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened [View all] GJGCA Jan 2026 OP

Junior, is that you? John1956PA Jan 2026 #1

Word! Brother Buzz Jan 2026 #2

Nah, Trumps inner circle wouldn't get off the toilet for less than a couple million Amishman Jan 2026 #3

I guarantee this is the Trump family Diraven Jan 2026 #4

I wouldn't put it past Marco, either nilram Jan 2026 #5

I guarantee it isn't Wiz Imp Jan 2026 #6

If it were a #rump family member, I'd be surprised they didn't bet much more William Seger Jan 2026 #12

Could be, they hoped it would fly under the radar and not be noticed Brother Buzz Jan 2026 #13

$400K? progressoid Jan 2026 #7

Someone who could risk $30K but couldn't pass up $460K ... William Seger Jan 2026 #9

What's the betting line it was Hegseth? William Seger Jan 2026 #8

Make America Grift Again IronLionZion Jan 2026 #10

Many American Grifters Agree William Seger Jan 2026 #11