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DJ Synikus Makisimus

(1,211 posts)
20. Central banks are buying metals. Not a good sign for the US economy.
Tue Jan 20, 2026, 09:37 PM
21 hrs ago

Last edited Tue Jan 20, 2026, 11:15 PM - Edit history (1)

The gold market rise appears too be only partially fed by individual and institutional investors. It's not just folks dumping crypto. Central banks have been liquidating gold and other metal assets for years, until now.

Trump's threats to the Fed have unnerved folks across the world, and fed the BRICS dream of replacing the dollar as the world's go-to currency. One of the European Central Bank's VPs, Luis de Guindos, issued a statement of confidence in the Fed yesterday.(1) Reminds me of the losing head coach who gets a statement of full confidence from the ownership, days before getting fired. The US economy floats on a sea of debt (and the interest paid on it), underwritten by treasury securities. They've been the world's safe harbor for years. China is the largest holder of them. Much, perhaps most, of the US debt is held abroad.

Should the world abandon the dollar and another vehicle for investment replace US treasuries, the US economy is finished. Agricultural and weapons exports won't maintain our lifestyles. This is the world Trump and his finance bros have been working for, as they think they'll be immune. Trump's lowborn fascists (see the Birchers, KKK and US Nazis) have been forming conspiracy theories about the Fed since before Trump was born without thinking consequences, so that's not new. It's that lots of very wealthy finance bros seem to buy into them. Perhaps they will.

If it does happen, we lowborn folks will likely be reduced to abject poverty and servitude, assuming we can find a master to serve. It's not a sure thing yet, and it isn't going to happen overnight, but it's important to be aware of the trend. If you're interested keep your eyes on how the sales of treasuries go in 2026-7, and watch the interest rates. It's also interesting to follow the price of gold and silver every week or so.

Oh yeah, in related news, China posted a trade surplus of $1.2 trillion in 2025.(2) Hmm.

===================================
(1) https://www.politico.eu/article/ecb-vice-president-luis-de-guindos-we-still-trust-the-fed/
(2) https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-trade-ends-2025-with-record-trillion-dollar-surplus-despite-trump-tariffs-2026-01-14/

Recommendations

2 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

So it begins... Aristus 23 hrs ago #1
Never ask for whom the bells tolls.... NotHardly 22 hrs ago #9
Yes. Literature reacquaints readers with reality. But the felon obviously doesn't read. ancianita 22 hrs ago #13
I can think of one clod I wish would be washed away by the sea. raccoon 13 hrs ago #34
This may be what it takes Mme. Defarge 23 hrs ago #2
I really hope that after listening to some of the leader's speeches at Davos, Bev54 22 hrs ago #10
The finacial world expressing to Trump Johonny 23 hrs ago #3
$100 million is a pittance. It was the warning Melon 23 hrs ago #4
Like... if China joined the dumping club! nt slightlv 22 hrs ago #7
Actually, I thought that I saw someplace that China was already dumping treasuries. h2ebits 19 hrs ago #31
Not dumping at all. Countries ebb and flow Melon 8 hrs ago #37
Thanks for the correction. That must have been what I saw and remembered inaccurately. h2ebits 7 hrs ago #38
Do we want to f around and find out what happens when the warning is ignored? IronLionZion 20 hrs ago #29
That would add to The National Debt, right? no_hypocrisy 23 hrs ago #5
That is the national debt, funded by selling US treasury bonds. Bev54 22 hrs ago #12
Not directly, but it still ain't good for any of us. paleotn 21 hrs ago #15
It makes our national debt more expensive because Treasury has to pay higher yields IronLionZion 20 hrs ago #30
We're barely able to pay INTEREST on the Debt right now. no_hypocrisy 13 hrs ago #35
This is just the beginning of the end for the good faith and credit of the US that the felon has killed. ancianita 22 hrs ago #6
Supposedly that's what got him to back off the tariffs last April IronLionZion 22 hrs ago #8
heh heh...probably... Wondering if you have a link to Orrex? ancianita 22 hrs ago #11
Every day here on DU IronLionZion 21 hrs ago #22
Ah, yes! Thanks. ancianita 21 hrs ago #23
If Denmark, Germany and France stop exporting insulin were screwed. 33taw 22 hrs ago #14
But...but...but....I didn't think we were reliant on Europe for anything!!! paleotn 21 hrs ago #17
You'd be surprised. Aussie105 21 hrs ago #25
Not true SCantiGOP 21 hrs ago #21
You may be correct, but that is not what I am finding. Yes,Eli Lilly is a US company. 33taw 19 hrs ago #32
Reuters link DoBW 21 hrs ago #16
It will force the Federal Reserve to engage in significant QE at the long end of the yield curve. roamer65 21 hrs ago #18
The bigger the depression... purr-rat beauty 21 hrs ago #19
Central banks are buying metals. Not a good sign for the US economy. DJ Synikus Makisimus 21 hrs ago #20
I think Japan surpassed China BaronChocula 15 hrs ago #33
Quite a lot of trade happens. Aussie105 21 hrs ago #24
Yes. Yes, he's an idiot. Wharton must be so proud. Buddyzbuddy 21 hrs ago #26
Gonna be a whomping big distraction from Jack Smith's little chat to the public. Attilatheblond 21 hrs ago #27
$100M is meaningless other than symbolism Bluetus 20 hrs ago #28
If that becomes an avalanche, we are SCREWED Martin Eden 11 hrs ago #36
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