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Wiz Imp

(9,134 posts)

11. Race To The WH gives Ossof a 79.1% chance to win in GA as of today

Reply to fujiyamasan (Reply #5)

Wed Jan 21, 2026, 03:16 PM

Wednesday

https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26#google_vignette

Cooper in NC is at 78.1%.
Maine is at 58.2%
Michigan at 55.8%

If these current trends hold, that would be 2 Democratic Pickups. They need 2 more for a majority. The 2 closest races where Democrats currently trail are Ohio (47.1%) then Alaska (32.0%).

So getting to 50 seems like a realistic possibility. It's that 51st seat which will be tough (though the odds of winning Alaska have improved significantly over the past month as have the odds for Texas, but it still sits at just 28.9%).

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Trump approval, per The Economist --... These states all have Senate elections this year [View all] demmiblue Wednesday OP

jeez, farmers are brainwashed. pansypoo53219 Wednesday #1

The two states with the highest 'rump approval are Idaho and Wyoming - ranching and lumbering, etc. erronis Wednesday #2

And they get one Senator for every hundred people. BurnDoubt Wednesday #6

Brainwashed - in no small part thanks to Sinclair Broadcast Group Seinan Sensei Wednesday #9

they've done such a good job of brainwashing NJCher Wednesday #14

I'm surprised at the levels of Southern states. 70sEraVet Wednesday #3

It depends where in the south... fujiyamasan Wednesday #5

Race To The WH gives Ossof a 79.1% chance to win in GA as of today Wiz Imp Wednesday #11

In a wave election as November appears set to be, seats tend to flip as a block Deminpenn Wednesday #16

Time to sow some hard questions... BurnDoubt Wednesday #4

Time to drive home: *rump equals all republicans NBachers Wednesday #7

Maine ExtraGriz Wednesday #8

Is Texas really that low? I find that hard to believe Mr. Sparkle Wednesday #10

don't mistake -17% for 17% mike_c Wednesday #13

Ah, that makes sense Mr. Sparkle Wednesday #18

I think people in Texas, especially the business owners, are starting to realize that... LudwigPastorius Wednesday #17

Paxton will probably win the Texas primary, Cornyn is hopefully toast MagickMuffin Wednesday #12

Approval numbers are based on date, but projected Deminpenn Wednesday #15

Yay, AL is almost into the negative (only 2.9%) ! Been hoping for that for years ! eppur_se_muova Wednesday #19