General Discussion

karynnj

(61,025 posts)

9. I wonder if the VIX being so high explains the drop

Tue Mar 3, 2026, 11:37 AM

Mar 3

Cause and effect could go either way.

Because it is very early in this war, it is hard to picture how it ends up. With so many top leaders killed, it may not be like the killing of the military leader in Trump's first term or the attacks last June when Iran's response was comparatively moderate.

The impact on the economy might be that higher costs of oil and gas will raise the price of almost everything. I think this will be different than in the 1970s. The percent of fuel produced in the US is far higher. That might mitigate shortages, however the price for this commodity will be set by global markets. Worldwide shortages will cause the price to rise.

What I expect is a rise in inflation. It was one factor in the extremely high inflation in the late 1970s.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

20 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

DOW is down 2.25% at open [View all] BlueWaveNeverEnd Mar 3 OP

Wow! The VIX, which is a measure of people's anxiety over the market, is up at 21%. Which means highly anxious. Scrivener7 Mar 3 #1

I wonder if the VIX being so high explains the drop karynnj Mar 3 #9

They often move together, with the VIX being very slightly predictive. Scrivener7 Mar 3 #20

Pamela Jo must not be happy underpants Mar 3 #2

This could collapse the world economy. lostincalifornia Mar 3 #3

Iran has calculated that the best way to win is economic warfare Renew Deal Mar 3 #4

Apparently the White House's inability to explain Johonny Mar 3 #5

Add in they didn't issue warnings for people to leave before the strike karynnj Mar 3 #11

Killing Americans abroad...A sacrifice TACO is willing to make. ProudMNDemocrat Mar 3 #16

2.5% now... LuckyCharms Mar 3 #6

Recovered to down only 1.4% BlueWaveNeverEnd Mar 3 #19

DOW −1,233.91 Ping Tung Mar 3 #7

But the DJIA was at 50k a few weeks ago. DUH!!! n/t Jacson6 Mar 3 #8

DOW is only up 7% total now under Trump Johnny2X2X Mar 3 #10

Should we tell Pamela? Norbert Mar 3 #12

They (meaning the grifter and his court jesters) can usually do or say something that turns it around. yellow dahlia Mar 3 #13

Glad I rebalanced my portfolio over the weekend Fiendish Thingy Mar 3 #14

How do you do that over the weekend Disaffected Mar 3 #15

I adjusted the percentage allotments on Sunday on my 457 plan's website, and the orders were executed yesterday. Fiendish Thingy Mar 3 #17

Coming back Greg_In_SF Mar 3 #18