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mikewv

(263 posts)

3. Encouraging

Reply to bigtree (Original post)

Sun Mar 29, 2026, 08:33 PM

Mar 29

We need 218 seats in the House and 51 in the Senate for simple majorities. This means we need 3 more seats in the House and 4 more in the Senate than we currently have. Yes, having more would be nice, especially in the House and because of Fetterman in the Senate. In the House, I think we win anywhere between 8-15 seats. In the senate, I like our chances of holding onto GA, NH, MN and MI at this point. I think we have a good chance of winning Maine, North Carolina and Ohio (Yes, only because Trump is unpopular atm). That puts us at 50. Peltola in Alaska is interesting considering Trump's negatives. We need 51. Alaska? Texas? Iowa? South Carolina? Florida? We only need 1 of the 5. This could all change tomorrow.

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Highlight:

Senate Polls released this week [View all] bigtree Mar 29 OP

They can poll a rock named Sununu PhilosopherKing Mar 29 #1

Mt thought was - WTF New Hampshire? biophile Mar 29 #8

Yep, most people are putting NH in the D column already. Bluetus Mar 29 #15

While true, I live in NH and we got a rather interesting bit of political junk mail last week that apparently Vinca Mar 30 #25

I love it Miami Blue Mar 29 #2

Encouraging mikewv Mar 29 #3

I think our House win will be bigger than that. EdmondDantes_ Mar 29 #4

I hope you are right about the house mikewv Mar 29 #5

51 but we have Fetterman newdeal2 Mar 29 #6

Peltola was the Jared Golden of the Last Frontier displacedvermoter Mar 29 #9

Our house flips will be measured in the dozens Fiendish Thingy Mar 29 #7

We need 52 considering Fetterman. AZLD4Candidate Mar 29 #11

Yup, he's not voting with us and would probably switch parties if it's close mucifer Mar 29 #13

Ridiculous. He is not going to change parties. Wiz Imp Mar 29 #17

51 in the Senate might get us the simple majority but Buddyzbuddy Mar 29 #12

Fetterman will flip to keep Dems out of control. LuvLoogie Mar 29 #14

Ridiculous. Absolutely no chance of that Wiz Imp Mar 29 #16

Minnesota is not even in play at this point. Wiz Imp Mar 30 #32

Ohio? Georgia? Kentucky? Texas? Florida? South Carolina (since Graham is supposed to be underwater) AZLD4Candidate Mar 29 #10

Ridiculous Wiz Imp Mar 29 #18

You believe what you believe. I live in PA. His vote against war powers and the Constitution AZLD4Candidate Mar 30 #19

He has made exactly one vote in his 3 plus years which would have changed the result Wiz Imp Mar 30 #20

Democrats said the same thing about Sinema when she did the same crap until the bridge too far AZLD4Candidate Mar 30 #22

Not remotely true. From day one Sinema made many more bad votes Wiz Imp Mar 30 #23

I'm not going down this rabbit hole. Fetterman lost me completely on his vote to overturn the war powers AZLD4Candidate Mar 30 #24

Talaric doesn't have an oppenent yet. ananda Mar 30 #29

Race To The White House awhich has a very strong track record Wiz Imp Mar 30 #21

We need AK or TX to get to 51 mikewv Mar 30 #27

Democrats chances in Ohio, Alaska, Texas, Iowa & Florida have gone way up in the past 6 months Wiz Imp Mar 30 #30

Agree! nm mikewv Mar 30 #31

Platner is a house of cards. RandySF Mar 30 #26

Like ananda Mar 30 #28